***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

As projected, Joe public is all over the pats with this 45-7 thumping. Line at 5 dimes has moved from sea-3 to pk. Same as last yr with den... Be at your battle stations, folks...
Yeah. Feels a lot like last year. Liking Seattle to cover and win it. Liking the under too. I was surprised to find out that Seattle has the 9th ranked offense compared to Patriot's 11th. Also teams scoring 40+ in the playoffs are 4-23 ATS the following game. I feel like the Pats are getting overvalued here after a routing of an Indy team just wasn't very good. 
 
any feelings for tonight's 2 nba games, may do a parlay taing OKC and Spurs, but not sure about the o/u for either game.
 
^^if you did...good hit...I personally had mia+9.5 for loose change.

Anyways, check out this article and tell me it's not a carbon copy of last yr.
"Brady, bro.....no way he loses 3 str8"
"Didn't u see what they did to indy??"
I'm seeing these quotes all over social media/"capping forums"

I'm not saying I'm leaning sea...yet...but.

http://www.businessinsider.com/las-vegas-super-bowl-point-spread-2015-1
I think Seattle will win this somewhat easily. I don't see a blowout like last year's since Pat's defense is better than last year's Bronco's defense, but I do see Seattle controlling this game. Public perception has this Pats team as a high powered offense with a revamped Belichick defense, but in reality, the Patriots rank lower in both categories. Seattle ranks 9th in offense and 1st in defense, while Pats rank 11th on offense and 13th ranked defense. Just by looking at those comparisons, the arrow points to Seattle being the much better team. Seattle just faced a GB team that can be argued as being better than the Pats, seeing that GB was able to beat them earlier this year. GB has a slightly better offense and their defenses are about the same. Pats do rank better against the run, but this can be misleading. The Pats have struggled against all of their matchups against good rb's this year. Charles, Lacy, Forte, and Forsett were all able to run with success against the Pats this year. 

The public is seeing a Pats team dominate their way towards the SB against a slightly above average Colts team, but are forgetting that the Pats struggled against a 6th seed Baltimore team. On the other side, they are seeing a Seattle team that limped its way into the SB by beating a very good GB on sheer luck. However, one can argue that Seattle was good enough and a bit lucky to pull out a victory in spite of their 5 uncharacteristic turnovers. 

Vegas messing up on a line for the biggest betting day of the year? lol I don't buy it. I'm pretty sure they know exactly what they're doing.
 
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Anyone going for any of the "fun" prop bets?

I'm betting blue sweatshirt for BB and sleeves cut...he's worn blue all playoffs and it's in Arizona...won't be too cold there.

Friend of a friend last year (professional gambler) paid a worker to record the National Anthem singer last year...he bet the max amount at like 28 different books...and won.

So, if anyone has inside info, let us NT brothers know.
 
^Idk understand what did he bet on?? The duration of time of the singing of the national anthem?
Yeah, my bad, I wasn't very clear.

He paid a worker at the SB to record the singer's practice round, he then found out the singer would be way under the time...so, he bet the under, and won like 15K or something.
 
Yeah, my bad, I wasn't very clear.



He paid a worker at the SB to record the singer's practice round, he then found out the singer would be way under the time...so, he bet the under, and won like 15K or something.

Cheater. :lol:

That's smart though. I would've done the same damn thing.
 
I havent looked it up, but if Brady PY total is like 300 or more, i'd go under. Gonna be a lot of dinking and dunking to beat Seattle, IMO.
 
Bulls +5 at home but they play The Spurs and Bulls have been struggling, what ya think?
Careful Bulls haven't been playing good defense and pau has been struggling. San Antonio just got Kawhi back and they're looking capable of making another title run.
 
I'm going with Seattle ML, I'm just not sure if I should wait or do it now. Payout is even at the moment. thoughts?
 
I'm going with Seattle ML, I'm just not sure if I should wait or do it now. Payout is even at the moment. thoughts?
I'm waiting a little bit...line keeps going in Seattle's way...my book has Seattle -1.5 right now, ML at +105...I'm gonna continue to wait.
 
i agree, makes sense, i'll wait too. i did sprinkle a little when lines opened and i was surprised seattle wasn't a 3pt fav (or something). but i'll wait to make my real bet.
 
ESPN's Behind the Bets Podcast came out yesterday. Very interesting to hear Bob Scucci talk about the early SB line and how the sharps were putting bets early on the Pats, but not as a true move just to move the public towards the Pats. 

Anyways, my book is giving me Sea+2 (-110). You guys think I should take it now or wait for it to get to +2.5/3? Thinking about putting some right now and more later if it does.
 
 
ESPN's Behind the Bets Podcast came out yesterday. Very interesting to hear Bob Scucci talk about the early SB line and how the sharps were putting bets early on the Pats, but not as a true move just to move the public towards the Pats. 

Anyways, my book is giving me Sea+2 (-110). You guys think I should take it now or wait for it to get to +2.5/3? Thinking about putting some right now and more later if it does.
Like I stated above, I am still waiting. It keeps giving Seattle points...I'll take them. Imagine if it gets to 3.5 man, that would be awesome.
 
It's prolly gonna settle in at +1.5 or +2....I may buy to +3.5 if so..need to hear reports on sherm/thomas ailments first and monitor line movement these next 8 days. I always wait till the 11th hour to make a call.

Last 3 yrs in vegas-
Nyg ML+125
Balt+7.5(alternate line at LVH)
Sea+7.5(alternate line at LVH)
 
My Super Bowl 49 bets...

Seattle +1.5

BB cut sleeves

BB blue hoodie

Shortest TD UNDER 1.5 yards

Brandon LaFell UNDER 50.5 receiving yards

Julian Edelman first 1st down of game (FREE bet)

Tom Brady UNDER 266.5 passing yards

Gostkowski UNDER 7.5 total points

Shane Vereen UNDER 2.5 rush attempts

...clearly, I like Seattle's defense to play really well and I like unders.
 
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