Originally Posted by Proshares
Unless they eat about $120mm, they're not going to get jack for Kemp and whoever trades for him without that is crazy.
Are you being sarcastic?
He's owed about $129 million at this point, so you're saying the receiving team should get a player of Matt Kemps caliber for 5 years at $9 million,
Please say it's sarcasm, because that is a ridiculous statement.
To get a reasonable return the Dodgers will have to make Kemp a $13 to $15 million a year player, essentially eating anywhere from $30-45 million. Not a bad risk considering the high reward attached to Kemp, and considering the deal Ellsbury got and Choo is about to get.
Not a fan of trading Kemp, even if it means landing Price. That would leave us with one of the best rotations ever assembled, yet the worst outfield in the history of baseball. On top of that, two big holes in the infield. Didn't work out for the Phillies when they loaded up on pitching.
He's pretty much been replacement level for two of the last four years. Throw in serious injury problems & the fact that he'll move to a less valuable position. It all just screams bad to me. I'm rooting for him but it's gonna be a long road back.
This is where I feel advanced metrics takes a dip, in 2010 his WAR was below replacement level but still had a potent bat that any Manager/GM would love.
He was above replacement in 2008, 2009, 2011, 2012 and 2013. 2010 was the only year he dipped and that can be attributed to his high SO rate.
Long road was the tail end of the 2012 season and the beginning of 2013, he was actually starting to hit for power when he returned after the All Star break when he had that freak ankle injury at home plate.
If Colletti is dumb enough to trade Kemp, whoever receives him is going to get a bargain. A top 5 player in his prime, buying when his value is low. He'll be a steal. Would'nt be surprised if he lands in Boston, it's the type of move they would make and the reason they are the defending champions. They'll stick it to the Yanks too, replace Ellsbury with someone better, younger and cheaper.
Honestly, would piss me off if they trade Kemp,
, don't even want to think about it.Edited by ooIRON MANoo - 12/11/13 at 10:25am