Originally Posted by Th3RealF0lkBlu3s
And even when you're determined to take a QB in the first round to be a franchise QB you're not likely to find a franchise QB. How many of them have been busts compared to long term answers? It all boils down to the eye for talent the organization has, obviously. How many teams passed on future HoFer Aaron Rodgers? 22?
That's true but I'm sure the % chance of finding that QB in the first as opposed to the second is enormously higher.
It all really comes down to if you have a prospect you like. If you do, take him—you have to take that risk at some point to try and find your franchise QB. Very few teams will ever get as lucky as the Colts, where you can select a QB without thinking and with no risk. Even teams with later round guys like the Seahawks, Pats, 49ers had to take huge risks in giving those guys chances to start over more established options. Even the Panthers with the #1 pick took what was seen as a big risk by choosing Cam #1.
Basically, there is no "low-risk, high-reward" way to find your franchise quarterback. First round might be high risk, high reward. Second round is going to be slightly lower risk, much lower reward. You can't be afraid to take your shot. Unless you really don't like anyone, in which case obviously it makes sense to pass.
edit: maybe I'm in the minority now, but I still think RG3 will be a star. That situation last year was untenable.