I personally don't agree with the bust label, but I don't think he'll be rookie of the year. He'll have plenty of rehab, and I think there's a good chance it takes some time to adjust to the system, regardless of where he lands.
I don't think he's an immediate impact guy like Tyreke or LeBron or Damian were. Most defensively minded players aren't. AD struggled with injuries and while he was productive, he definitely had struggles.
His target return date is around christmas.