Warning: Spoiler! (Click to show)
Half the problem, sneakerpro, is that your comparing to begin with. I didn't put them in brackets to decide my rankings.
What must I reiterate about Wilson that has people confused? There is nothing about his makeup that would make you think he can't be a top tier QB in the NFL. I went over this many many times.
Generally, when college quarterbacks come into the NFL, they come from two distinct backgrounds. Now, I’m aware the variations to this rule, but if you dumb it down, there’s two basic principles.
You have your prototypical offenses and you have your schools where they have the luxury of quarterbacks who are gifted with their feet. A lot of the times, either by new implementation based on the skillset, or by recruiting, they set an offense in place where the Q gets to use that dynamic skillset. Cam Newton is a great example of this.
Colin played college ball at Nevada. Nevada, if you know your stuff, is the birthplace of the pistol offense. By no means is it a gimmick offense. However, it is predicated on the variation of the zone read. The zone read is implemented with those exact quarterbacks in mind. If you were following along, then it’s the Cam’s and RGIII’s of the world. Now, this doesn’t mean that guys like Ryan Tannehill don’t run the read option. It’s just not as lethal unless your QB can run….So what does that tell us?
Kaepernick led all of college in rushing yards for a quarterback. Kudos. Unfortunately, there is a give and take. You have your Russell Wilson and Andrew Lucks of the world who are running the prototypical offenses (aka NFL systems that have been around for awhile). Film study, practices and execution are all based on different aspects of the defense and their schematics with the two offenses. Meaning you’re looking at different things. Q’s like Russell and Luck were developing the part of their game that is more effective in the NFL. That’s with the test of time and not at my whim.
On the other end of the spectrum you have those that are gifted athletically even well beyond that of Wilson and Luck. Enter Cam, RGIII and Kaepernick. The emphasis of their film studies in college are different than that of the prototype. Improvisation is also more encouraged. There’s less “throw it away” and more “make it happen.” That involves their legs. Don’t lose me..Follow along…
Enter the NFL. There has yet to be one quarterback. NOT ONE, who has come into the NFL with this new breed of offense or skillset who has sustained it without adjustment -- Michael Vick. Do any of you remember when he came out of VTech? How about the NFC CHampioship game in 2002? Forget the two-year absence for a second…He had this league by the balls and he was fresh outta college for the most part. Then after a few years and his mind started to get pressed and his old “tricks” didn’t yield the same results. He had to adjust. He never really could. He did for one year that I rmember (3 years ago with Philly), but reverted back to his old self soon after. Point being, the stats looked nice but it was flash in the pan.
These guys can be more or less ahead of the game than Vick was, but one thing is certain. The mental dexterity is the #1 most important aspect of playing quarterback in the NFL. Both Kaepernic and RGIII have yet to be pushed to that threshold. Could they finally be an exception to the rule? Yes! However, I’ll damned stupid if I base my opinion around one year successes because look at what happened to Cam. Look at the posts on NT his first year and then the subsequent years. See the difference? Well, look even further into what you can’t see on the forefront. Check the defenses adjusting to shutting down that 3rd and 4th throwing option that the Mannings and Bradys thrive off of. Eh, when all else fails run, right? Well, that’s what they were taught in college and it worked out of the gates in the NFL, but add that adjustment and “oh, ****.”
Colin is VERY athletic. His potential is ASTRONOMICAL. However, what makes him so special that he doesn’t have to adhere to learning how to progress in this league? He may as well have been a rookie last year because even second year Q’s who aren’t starters don’t get the time to spend on check-with-me’s at the line or are the emphasis of their particular skillset in film study (they watch same film and hear the coach-speak, but Colin was probably rolling his eyes at plays in film that Alex couldn’t make. That doesn’t necessarily help Colin). I love Colin as a future prospect. Prospect and potential are dirty words in my book though. You have to continue to develop. Now, back to the reading progression…Since Colin’s ability allows him to improvise without hitches and pull off 60 yard runs, who needs to look for that 3rd or 4th receiving option? Hell, I wouldn’t…and never did. And here I sit….
What Kaep needs to do consistently is sit…Sit in that pocket and UNDERSTAND how to read the defense from what he’s gathered in film and make certain that he knows exactly where Kassim Osgood is supposed to be and going to be if all else fails. Why Osgood? Because he’s their 4th or 5th receiver. They need to have just as good a rapport as Kaep and Boldin. With Crab going down, it makes it all the more imperative that everyone is on the same page. Next man up, right?
Sure, he’s proved in a few weeks of regular season football that he has the goods, but there’s 31 other paid professional HC’s and even more coordinators who have seen what I spoke about and know the history and will devise certain schemes to give Colin new looks. Will it always work? Hell no. Not against an athlete the class of Colin. Will it make his 2013 season tougher? You damn right. And even if he does go off again this year, will he sustain it? I or we don’t have enough information to analyze that, but Vick made the NFCCG in his 2nd full season as a starter….Then look. Obviously, it’s for comparative purposes because we can settle down on the nuances that make each different, but again, why is Colin this great exception to the rule? Top 10 in his future? Top 5? Maybe. Can he? For damn sure. This year? Nah. Russell is ahead of him from a pure QB standpoint. Again…Not hating. This is STRICTLY my analysis and opinion, so feathers don’t need to be ruffled because in 3 years if I’m wrong…I”ll have no qualms admitting it. For sure. Thanks Duece and NT’er23 for allowing me to further my knowledge on the subject. That’s for real. Sorry for any typos or weird sentences. This was straight off the dome.
Good luck reading that.