OFFICIAL 2014 FANTASY BASEBALL THREAD

Have you checked out Ray Flowers draft kit (link)?  You can get it for a $10 deposit at DraftKings.  Just started reading it last night and it's legit.  Gonna be using that and scoutPRO's draft kit (link) this year for my research.  Between the two, you pretty much have everything you need.  Flowers/FantasyAlarm has a bunch of strategy articles, mock drafts and rankings, and the scoutPRO one has a ton of player profiles, rankings and projected stats (over 300 pages).  Much rather pay $20 than read that garbage that ESPN and CBS put out.  Hope this helps!
 
blackredxiiigoat said:
Really sucks to hear the news about Sano. Was really excited to see him continue to grow this year.

Building on that keeper league question from a few posts above...

No limit on number of years you can keep a pitcher, I can contend for a title this year -

Would you trade Harvey and Taijuan Walker for Strasburg?

I'd have a rotation of Kershaw, Price, Strasburg and Sonny Gray (with Taillon waiting in the minors)
Click to expand...

Havey and Walker for Strasburg in a no limit keeper? Then no.

I'm not as high on Strasburg as others are. He has durability issues to prove he can get over before I call him elite. Harvey has to bounce back from the injury, and if history on TMJ proves anything it's that he will. Walker has been a stud prospect for years so I think you hold on to him.

2 vs 1, both young...and you can keep forever. I'd hold on to them
 
senor chang said:
I know it's early but just had my first draft this afternoon in my 12 man money league. This was the only date this month we could all draft at the same time :smh:

I got offered Prince for my Pedroia... Currently have Goldy as my 1st baseman and plan to use Prince in the Util slot. I think Prince is gonna beast in Texas.. I also have Ian and Profar as my backup 2nd base or kinsler...Accept the trade?
Click to expand...

No.

There's no need to. Prince in the UTL spot is MUCH more valuable then Pedrio in the UTL spot with Profar and Kinsler.
 
doinwork said:
Have you checked out Ray Flowers draft kit (link)?  You can get it for a $10 deposit at DraftKings.  Just started reading it last night and it's legit.  Gonna be using that and scoutPRO's draft kit (link) this year for my research.  Between the two, you pretty much have everything you need.  Flowers/FantasyAlarm has a bunch of strategy articles, mock drafts and rankings, and the scoutPRO one has a ton of player profiles, rankings and projected stats (over 300 pages).  Much rather pay $20 than read that garbage that ESPN and CBS put out.  Hope this helps!
Click to expand...

I got Flowers' draft kit about 2 weeks ago, and I'm still not done with it. A lot of info in there.

(by the way...it looks like this guy just joined and posted this as spam, but I can vouch for the Ray Flowers DraftKit. Still may not deter from the fact that this guy may be promoting or spamming, but it is legit. The ScoutPro one I have never heard of.)
 
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Why is it that whenever you post a link that it's automatically considered spam?  It's not like one of the those BS work from home and make $10,000 a month ads. And if I were promoting this, why would I mention two things that are directly competing against one another?  
 
doinwork said:
Why is it that whenever you post a link that it's automatically considered spam?  It's not like one of the those BS work from home and make $10,000 a month ads. And if I were promoting this, why would I mention two things that are directly competing against one another?  
Click to expand...

Because it didn't seem like a regular post, and you're new. So it easily can look like you signed up just to push a product for commission or something.

Glad it's not.

I'm someone who listens to Sirius XM and the fantasy channel daily, and is a big fan of Ray Flowers. Hell I even helped him edit his articles in the draft kit yesterday!
 
venom lyrix said:
Because it didn't seem like a regular post, and you're new. So it easily can look like you signed up just to push a product for commission or something.

Glad it's not.

I'm someone who listens to Sirius XM and the fantasy channel daily, and is a big fan of Ray Flowers. Hell I even helped him edit his articles in the draft kit yesterday!
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Understood.  Love the fantasy channel as well.  Makes 2 hours of daily traffic a little less terrible:smile:
 
My big money keeper league draft is in year 9 and our draft is this Sunday unfortunately.

I was talking to our commish yesterday and telling him how excited I am to draft Sunday, but at the same time I'm angry that we are going to have to make decisions before things are finalized in Spring Training. But we couldn't get together on any other date as a league.
 
651akathePaul said:
5 keepers.

Keep:

Votto
Gomez
Adam Jones
Felix Hernandez

Fringe:

Wacha
Iwakuma
Harvey
Kipnis
Justin Upton



Who is my fifth keeper?
Click to expand...
Still regret letting Wacha go midseason.

blackredxiiigoat said:
Really sucks to hear the news about Sano. Was really excited to see him continue to grow this year.

Building on that keeper league question from a few posts above...

No limit on number of years you can keep a pitcher, I can contend for a title this year -

Would you trade Harvey and Taijuan Walker for Strasburg?

I'd have a rotation of Kershaw, Price, Strasburg and Sonny Gray (with Taillon waiting in the minors)
Click to expand...
No deal. Very high on Tai even with the premature concern over right shoulder inflammation. Safeco is pitcher friendly and Harvey is ahead of schedule in his TJ rehab.


senor chang said:
I know it's early but just had my first draft this afternoon in my 12 man money league. This was the only date this month we could all draft at the same time :smh:

I got offered Prince for my Pedroia... Currently have Goldy as my 1st baseman and plan to use Prince in the Util slot. I think Prince is gonna beast in Texas.. I also have Ian and Profar as my backup 2nd base or kinsler...Accept the trade?
Click to expand...
Deal, Prince is a top-3 fantasy 1B. You're dropping from position 2-3 at 2B in Pedroia to Kinsler. Kinsler is on the decline but he's well-insured with a sleeper candidate in Profar. Just keep an eye on his shoulder.

Goldy, Kinsler, Prince > Goldy, Pedroia, Kinsler.

doinwork said:
Why is it that whenever you post a link that it's automatically considered spam?  It's not like one of the those BS work from home and make $10,000 a month ads. And if I were promoting this, why would I mention two things that are directly competing against one another?  
Click to expand...
NT'ers are cynical because of past history.
 
thanks for the input guys.

As for that Prince trade, I'd do it. While I think Kinsler is past his prime, you have enough depth at 2B with him and Prof to justify the move.
 
Two fantasy players I'm high on at each position:
C Salvador Perez and Jason Castro
1B Eric Hosmer and Japhet Amador
2B Jedd Gyorko and Kolten Wong
SS Xander Bogaerts and winner of Chris Owings/Didi Gregorius
3B Nolan Arenado and Nick Castellanos
OF Desmond Jennings and Oscar Tavares
SP Danny Salazar and Archie Bradley
RP Trevor Rosenthal and Nate Jones
 
blackredxiiigoat said:
thanks for the input guys.

As for that Prince trade, I'd do it. While I think Kinsler is past his prime, you have enough depth at 2B with him and Prof to justify the move.
Click to expand...
You only make that trade if you're willing to leverage the future to win now. Stras would give you three of the top 12 pitchers in fantasy baseball. Anything less than a fantasy title in '14 would be a disappointment. But as I said, Harvey is tossing a ball already and he has an outside chance to pitch in '14 if the Mets are in the wildcard hunt. Tai likely won't be in the Opening Day rotation but you have to be patient with him. Only 21 and you expect Seattle to be ultra conservative with his shoulder.
 
Hopefully I can draft

Pujols
Hamiliton
Mauer
Bruan

GOAT squad would cook, and its possible to get all these guys also.
 
ChampCruThik said:
Two fantasy players I'm high on at each position:
C Salvador Perez and Jason Castro
1B Eric Hosmer and Japhet Amador
2B Jedd Gyorko and Kolten Wong
SS Xander Bogaerts and winner of Chris Owings/Didi Gregorius
3B Nolan Arenado and Nick Castellanos
OF Desmond Jennings and Oscar Tavares
SP Danny Salazar and Archie Bradley
RP Trevor Rosenthal and Nate Jones
Click to expand...

solid list for the most part.

Hosmer has to become consistent.

I love Gyorko this year. Wong has a lot to prove too.

Castellanos has huuge potential.

Jennings I don't like anymore. Tavares won't be up tll midseason and when he does come up, obviously he'll play but he'll push a Matt Adams or someone else solid out of the lineup. LOOOVE Salazar and Bradley and Rosenthal and Jones
 
Franco23x said:
Hopefully I can draft

Pujols
Hamiliton
Mauer
Bruan

GOAT squad would cook, and its possible to get all these guys also.
Click to expand...

Pujols isn't the same playert he use to be. Hamilton is a shell of his former self as well. Mauer isn't a catcher anymore although he will be slotted there and also doesn't hit for power. Braun I see having a huge F U year and being dominatnt
 
venom lyrix said:
Franco23x said:
Hopefully I can draft

Pujols
Hamiliton
Mauer
Bruan

GOAT squad would cook, and its possible to get all these guys also.
Click to expand...

Pujols isn't the same playert he use to be. Hamilton is a shell of his former self as well. Mauer isn't a catcher anymore although he will be slotted there and also doesn't hit for power. Braun I see having a huge F U year and being dominatnt
Click to expand...

You must not be paying attention.

The gods are back.
 
Anyone starting a league or need to people to join? 
nerd.gif


IDC if it's money or free I want in! 
 
no one wanted J. Hamilton in my league when I was drafting earlier this week....I was like eff it and drafted him in the 12th round :lol:
 
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SmoothOP1432 said:
Anyone starting a league or need to people to join? :nerd:


IDC if it's money or free I want in! 
Click to expand...

I actually have a keeper league that lost two managers, looking for two new active bodies. We keep 4 annually, list your email if u want invite or send pm. League is in its 9th season
 
Matthew Berry's 100 Facts You Need to Know Before You Draft



1. There are only two players in Major League Baseball who have hit at least 20 home runs in 12 straight seasons. David Ortiz ...

2. ... And Alfonso Soriano.

3. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. Albert Pujols has had fewer home runs and a lower batting average, on-base and slugging percentages in each of those seasons than in the previous.

4. Over the past two seasons, only three players have hit 60 home runs while also hitting over .300 in both years: Miguel Cabrera, Robinson Cano and ... Adrian Beltre.

5. Speaking of Cano: Since Safeco Field's first full season in 2000, there have been only three 25-HR seasons by Mariners left-handed hitters (Raul Ibanez twice, Russell Branyan once).

6. In 163 career plate appearances at Safeco Field, Cano has four home runs. Four.

7. Yes, they moved in the walls in Safeco. Some of the walls.

8. But they didn't touch the right-field power alley.

9. Over the past two seasons, among batters with at least 700 cumulative at-bats, only Chris Davis, Miguel Cabrera and Edwin Encarnacion have a better home run-per-at-bat rate than ... Brandon Moss.

10. Over the past three seasons, only Miguel Cabrera (323) has scored more runs than Ian Kinsler (311).

11. If we expand it to the past four years, only Miguel Cabrera (434) has scored more runs than Austin Jackson (395).

12. Miguel Cabrera, Austin Jackson and now Ian Kinsler all play for the Detroit Tigers.

13. There are only three players in Major League Baseball with 40 home runs and 50 stolen bases in the past two seasons combined. Mike Trout, Alex Rios and ... Carlos Gomez.

14. Gomez's OPS has risen in four consecutive seasons.

15. Gomez didn't play three consecutive games with at least four at-bats for the Brewers until June 19, 2012.

16. Since June 19, 2012, Gomez has received 842 at-bats and used them to score 137 runs, hit 41 home runs, with 115 RBIs and 70 steals.

17. Since June 19, 2012 there are only two players in Major League Baseball who have at least 130 runs, 40 home runs, 115 RBIs and "just" 40 steals. Gomez and ... Mike Trout.

18. If I raise the minimum to 64 steals, the list becomes ... just Gomez.

19. From the start of July to the end of last season, only Victor Martinez (.367) had a higher batting average than ... Jayson Werth.

20. And only Mike Trout (1.048) had a higher OPS.

21. Michael Cuddyer's BABIP last season was .382.

22. His previous high in a full season is .328. His career BABIP is .312.

23. From 2010 through 2012, Cuddyer had a .237 BABIP on ground balls. If you apply that rate to his 2013 ground balls, he'd have lost 18 hits.

24. With 18 fewer hits he's a .294 hitter.

25. Matt Kemp has played only 179 games over the past two seasons.

26. His per-162-games averages in those two seasons are 99 runs, 27 HR, 93 RBIs, 17 SB, while batting .290.

27. For comparison sake, last year Adam Jones hit .285 with 100 runs, 33 HR, 108 RBIs and 14 SB season and was a top-five outfielder on our player rater.

28. Prior to this two-year stretch, Kemp had played at least 155 games in four straight years.

29. Kemp is currently going in the eighth round of ESPN live drafts.

30. Kris Bryant was the very first position player selected in the 2013 MLB draft. He played 16 games at high Class A last year and when the season starts, the Chicago Cubs minor leaguer will be just 22 years old.

31. Or, nine months and 12 days older than Bryce Harper.

32. Only two players have played at least half their games at shortstop over the past two seasons while batting at least .280 and hitting at least 40 HR: Hanley Ramirez and ... Ian Desmond.

33. In his limited time with the Reds last season, Billy Hamilton had 18 stolen base opportunities (on first or second base with the next base open).

34. He attempted to steal 14 times and was successful 13 times.

35. Hamilton played in only 13 major league games last season; his steals were the most in the major leagues during that span. In those 13 games, he had only 19 at-bats.

36. Including all levels of the minor leagues, Hamilton has played 515 professional baseball games, stealing 408 bases. That makes his per-162-games average 128 steals.

37. More speed: Over the past two seasons, Everth Cabrera has 81 stolen bases in 210 games.

38. Among players with 210 or fewer games in that span, nobody else has more than 66 stolen bases.

39. For his career, Everth Cabrera averages a stolen base every 11.66 at-bats.

40. Last season, Jonathan Villar averaged a stolen base every 11.66 at-bats. He is currently going in the 22nd round. Or 11 rounds later than Everth Cabrera.

41. Since June 1 of last year, there have been 11 shortstops who scored more runs, 22 shortstops who hit more home runs, 20 shortstops who had more RBIs and one shortstop who stole more bases than ... Jean Segura.

42. There also were 21 shortstops with at least 200 at-bats during that time frame who hit better than Segura's .261.

43. Let's pile on. Among qualified hitters, when Segura was behind in the count, he chased the sixth-most non-strikes (48.1 percent).

44. Only five right-handed hitters had more hard-hit fly balls and line drives to right field than Starlin Castro's 34. His BABIP on these (.500) was 112 points lower than the major league average.

45. Castro has had at least 640 at-bats for three straight seasons. He is just 24 years old.

46. From 2011 to 2013, among the 102 left-handed batters with at least 1,000 plate appearances, Brian McCann's 47.2 pull percentage was 14th highest. And his "far right" pull percentage during that time frame was 13th highest.

47. Only eight stadiums in baseball have a right-field wall farther out than Turner Field's 330 feet.

48. Only Fenway Park and AT&T Park have a right-field wall that's a shorter distance from home plate than Yankee Stadium's 314 feet. And only five stadiums have a right-field fence that's shorter than Yankee Stadium's eight feet.

49. After a career of playing his home games at Turner Field, and six straight seasons of at least 20 home runs, left-handed pull hitter Brian McCann will play his home games at Yankee Stadium.

50. According to the ESPN Home Run Tracker's "Golden Sledgehammer" rankings (for hitters with at least 18 home runs), Coco Crisp ranked dead last, with a 368.9 feet average home run distance. Second to last? Matt Joyce, with a 382.5 average home run distance.

51. And only five hitters had a lower home run distance average than Domonic Brown's 386.8 feet.

52. In fact, Brown hit nine home runs that were 370 feet or less in length. That was the second most in major league baseball. Only ... wait for it ... Coco Crisp had more (11 home runs last year that traveled 370 feet or less).

53. In 2011, Curtis Granderson had a 17.3 miss percentage on fastballs 93 mph or faster. In 2012, it was 22.2 percent.

54. And in 2013 ... it was 31 percent.

55. From 2012 to 2013, there were only two players in baseball who swung more often at non-strikes than ... Josh Hamilton and his 40.1 percent chase rate.

56. From the day of Yasiel Puig's MLB debut through the end of the regular season, his 30 swings and misses on first-pitch non-strikes was tops in major league baseball.

57. No player had a higher BABIP on soft-contact fly balls than Chris Johnson last year. Lotta bloopers to right field. And only -- you guessed it -- Michael Cuddyer had a higher BABIP on soft-contact balls in play than Johnson.

58. Last year, Mike Napoli came to the plate with 456 total runners on base. Among players with at least 250 plate appearances, no player had a higher baserunner-per-plate appearance average.

59. Prior to last season's 92, Mike Napoli's career-high RBI total was 75.

60. According to the Bill James Historical Abstract, there have been only three minor leaguers to record a 40/40 season.

61. In 2013, George Springer of the Astros came within three home runs of having one.

62. In fact, there have been only three minor leaguers with at least 30 home runs and 40 steals in the past 40 years: Darryl Strawberry (1982), Ruben Rivera (1994) and ... George Springer.

63. Among active players, the only pitcher in Major League Baseball with 1,300 innings pitched through his age 25 season is Felix Hernandez.

64. Through his age 24 season, Masahiro Tanaka has 1,315 innings pitched.

65. Over the past four seasons, there have been only three pitchers who have started at least 30 games each year and had an ERA under 3.40: Clayton Kershaw, Gio Gonzalez and ... Hiroki Kuroda.

66. Last year, the Yankees scored 4.40 runs per 9 innings for Andy Pettitte. They scored 4.53 per 9 for CC Sabathia. As a team, they averaged 4.01 per 9 for the season. But when Kuroda was on the mound, they scored 3.16 per 9.

67. It was the third-worst run support average among qualified starting pitchers.

68. Over the past three years, only Clayton Kershaw and Justin Verlander have more quality starts than Cole Hamels.

69. Last year, Hamels' 17 non-win quality starts were tied for the most in a single season. In major league history.

Bonus fact. Sometimes you dig up all sorts of stats on a guy and make yourself fall in love with him only to hear reports of shoulder fatigue the day your column is supposed to be published.

70. Since 2001, CC Sabathia has thrown 43,390 pitches. That leads the majors.

71. CC Sabathia's average fastball was 91.3 mph last season.

72. In 2011 it was 93.9 mph. In 2009, it was 94.1 mph.

73. Since 1920, only two pitchers have made at least 25 starts with an ERA under 2.20 at age 20 or younger: Dwight Gooden in 1985 and Jose Fernandez in 2013.

74. In the past three seasons, there have been only three pitchers who have had at least 191 strikeouts each year and an ERA of 3.37 or lower: Clayton Kershaw, Cliff Lee and Madison Bumgarner.

75. Kershaw and Lee are being drafted as top-six pitchers. Bumgarner is outside the top 10.

76. Yu Darvish allowed a home run on 13.5 percent of his fly balls last season, the fourth-highest rate among qualified starters.

77. That figure was 8.5 percent in his rookie season.

78. Last year, Justin Masterson allowed a well-hit average of .120, third-best among qualified starters.

79. Masterson also had a higher percentage of opponent plate appearances end in strikeouts (24.3%) than Justin Verlander (23.5%).

80. Masterson is going in the 19th round.

81. Aroldis Chapman is only the second pitcher in history to manage better than 15 strikeouts per 9 innings in consecutive seasons.

82. Since R.A. Dickey's first year with the Mets in 2010, his "fast knuckler" (the 78 mph one) has limited batters to a .197 average with a 29.6 percent strikeout percentage.

83. In 2012, Dickey threw the pitch 45 percent of the time. Hitters hit .185 against it with a 34.3 percent strikeout rate.

84. In the first half of 2013, he threw the pitch 19 percent of the time. Hitters hit .236 against it with a 28.3 strikeout percentage.

85. In the second half of last year, with his back issues behind him, he threw it 43 percent of all pitches. Hitters hit .202 against it with a 29.6 strikeout percentage.

86. Last season, Travis Wood was sixth in quality starts, 10th in quality start percentage and second in non-win quality starts.

87. He was dead last in run support per 9 innings among qualified pitchers, receiving 3.03 RS/9.

88. When Doug Fister was with Seattle, he had a .292 BABIP, a .222 ground ball BABIP and a .373 ground ball/line drive BABIP for the "far left."

89. With Detroit, he had a .307 BABIP, a .231 ground ball BABIP and a .441 ground ball/line drive BABIP for the "far left."

90. Miguel Cabrera played the "far left" infield for Detroit the past two seasons.

91. This year, Cabrera will play first base for Detroit, and Fister will pitch for the Nationals, where Ryan Zimmerman is known to flash a little leather at third base.

92. Last year, there were four pitchers who induced ground balls at a rate higher than 50 percent while also striking out more than a batter an inning: Felix Hernandez, Stephen Strasburg, Justin Masterson and A.J. Burnett.

93. If we lower the K/9 requirement to better than seven while keeping the ground ball rate at 50 percent or better, we add one more name to the list ... Rick Porcello.

94. Porcello is just 25 years old.

95. Sonny Gray made his major league debut on July 10, 2013.

96. Since July 10, his 2.67 ERA is 16th best in the major leagues, better than, among others, David Price's and Cole Hamels'.

97. His ground ball percentage was 52.9 and his K/9 was 9.42.

98. From 2011 to 2013, when David Robertson pitched on consecutive days and/or three or more consecutive days, he had a 3.02 ERA in 53 games.

99. Over the same time frame, when Robertson had any kind of rest, he had a 1.54 ERA in 152 games.

100. Last year, Mariano Rivera had 16 games (of 64) where he was asked to pitch with no rest.
 
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