The Advanced NFL Statistics Thread. Defense-adjusted Value Over Average.

[jpzx]

Or DVOA.

Post all sorts of analytics and metrics with merit in here and we can discuss.

To start at a foundation here -- since I can only guess at the NTers who are interested in this stuff -- here is a simple definition of DVOA:

DVOA

DVOA is a method of evaluating teams, units, or players. It takes every single play during the NFL season and compares each one to a league-average baseline based on situation.

@CP1708, since I know you'll be in here soon, as I was typing this I looked up at RedZone and Joe Philbin was yelling at a ref that didn't recognize him, "It's me! No, no... Yeah, no I was the head coach in Hard Knocks! Yes I WAS!" If there was an advanced stat that could reveal something about coaches we can't see with our eyes he'd be like Blackout Bingo. Dude sucks, come on.

A little bit more in-depth on DVOA:

DVOA is a method of evaluating teams, units, or players. It takes every single play during the NFL season and compares each one to a league-average baseline based on situation. DVOA measures not just yardage, but yardage towards a first down: Five yards on third-and-4 are worth more than five yards on first-and-10 and much more than five yards on third-and-12. Red zone plays are worth more than other plays.

Performance is also adjusted for the quality of the opponent. DVOA is a percentage, so a team with a DVOA of 10.0% is 10 percent better than the average team, and a quarterback with a DVOA of -20.0% is 20 percent worse than the average quarterback. Because DVOA measures scoring, defenses are better when they are negative.

Here's a good article from NJ.com about the GMs approach and relationship with the data at-hand:

http://www.nj.com/giants/index.ssf/...gms_lack_a_magic_formula_for_draft_picks.html

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[pmatic]

Stats are for losers that don't understand the game.

 

[jpzx]

Do you like putting yourself down.