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11. Stanley Johnson
Johnson's tournament was solid, just like his season. He clearly has an NBA body, shot the ball better this season than anyone could've hoped, and when he dials in defensively, he looks to be a strong two-way player in the pros. But NBA scouts think Winslow is a better athlete and has an even better motor. They think both Hezonja and Kansas' Kelly Oubre will be better shooters long term. Johnson is stuck somewhere in between: the guy who does just about everything well but lacks that one elite skill. Still, I think there's almost no way he falls out of the lottery. He could go as high as No. 6, but I think the range is more likely Nos. 8 to 14.
12. Kelly Oubre
It will be interesting to see if Oubre can keep his stock in the lottery. Scouts have been crazy high on him (before the season began), rock bottom on him (after a very slow start), high on him again (after he moved into KU's starting lineup) and lukewarm the last month of the season. His length, shooting touch and defensive abilities are all very attractive, however, and you can make the case he has the highest upside of any wing in the draft. But he's going to need some terrific workouts against Winslow and Johnson, and that might be tough given how physical both players are. Oubre's in the 10-to-15 range right now.
13. Frank Kaminsky
Kaminsky had another virtuoso performance in the Final Four, with 20 points, 11 rebounds and 2 blocks against Kentucky's NBA front line, then scoring 21 points and grabbing 12 rebounds against Duke. Kaminsky went head-to-head against the potential No. 1 and No. 2 picks in the draft (Towns and Okafor) and the guy widely regarded as the best defender in the draft (Cauley-Stein), and he outplayed them all. Not only did he prove worthy of his title as Naismith Player of the Year, but even some of his harshest NBA critics had to concede that Kaminsky is just really good. No, he's not an elite athlete and he'll need to find the right fit and right offensive scheme in the NBA to thrive, but if he wasn't already a lock for the lottery, I think he is now. Look for him to go in the 10-to-15 range.
14. Jakob Poeltl
Poeltl benefited greatly from his strong play in the NCAA tournament, especially his defense against Okafor. For scouts who said Poeltl was too weak and would get pushed around, he more than held his own against arguably the strongest, most offensively polished big man in the country. However, he needs to add strength and improve his offensive game. But if Poeltl declares, he'll likely go in the Nos. 13-to-20 range.
15. Malik Pope
Pope is awaiting word from the NBA underclassmen committee on his draft stock. He'll likely return to San Diego State if he's not guaranteed a lottery pick by the committee. He's right on the cusp, according to multiple scouts and GMs I've spoken with, but it really depends on the team. He has elite size, athleticism and shooting/ballhandling skills for a small forward. But he lacks strength and experience. If he returns to San Diego State for another season, he has the potential to be a top-10 pick in 2016.
16. Sam Dekker
Dekker had a major coming-out party in the NCAA tournament -- until his jump shot stopped falling and he took an elbow to the head in the title game versus Duke. Before Monday's game, he was shooting 15-for-30 from 3-point range, with huge games against Coastal Carolina, Oregon, North Carolina, Arizona and Kentucky. However, his shot just didn't fall against Duke despite several clean looks. He went 0-for-6 from downtown and ended up with just 12 points on 6-for-15 shooting. More importantly, Dekker didn't get to the free throw line once in the game -- an annoying habit that has irked scouts all season. We knew Dekker would eventually revert back to the mean on shooting (he's closer to a 32 percent 3-point shooter than a 50 percent shooter), and unfortunately for him it happened in the most important game of the season. The title game definitely had a bit of a cooling effect on his red-hot draft stock, but Dekker still proved himself to be a possible late lottery selection. His draft range is 13 to 20 right now.
17. Bobby Portis
Portis has been solid all season but is seeing his draft stock slide as several other players with more upside put up big numbers in the tournament. Still, he's a complete big man and is going to be fine -- if he declares. If so, he should be in the 13-to-20 range.
18. Trey Lyles
Lyles really came on for Kentucky down the stretch, though his nine-point, one-rebound game against Wisconsin wasn't particularly memorable. While he could clearly use another season at Kentucky to polish his game, most NBA scouts value Lyles' ability to score in the post and in the midrange area and believe he'll be better in the NBA as a 4 in the mold of Carlos Boozer. He's in the 13-to-20 range.
19. Devin Booker
Booker might be the best 3-point shooter in the draft, and it was odd that he didn't take even one shot against Wisconsin in Kentucky's loss. Booker started the season in a slump, got red-hot midseason and cooled off toward the end. But in a draft devoid of elite shooters, he and R.J. Hunter should be either the first or second pure shooter off the board after D'Angelo Russell. Booker is in the 13-to-22 range.
20. R.J. Hunter
Hunter turned around a disastrous shooting season with several memorable games in the NCAA tournament. Yes, his shot struggled to fall all season, but no one who watches him play really questions whether he can shoot. Add in a high basketball IQ, the ability to pass, and solid defense in the passing lanes, and Hunter is a better NBA prospect than he showed this season. Scouts are all over the place on his draft stock; landing from 13 to 25 isn't out of the question.
21. Kriss Dunn
Dunn is now in an interesting scrum for the title of best point guard in the draft after Mudiay and Russell come off the board. He's in the same group that includes Notre Dame's Jerian Grant, Murray State's Cameron Payne, Duke's Tyus Jones, Louisville's Terry Rozier and Utah's Delon Wright. Dunn gets the slight nod over the pack right now because of his elite athleticism, his size for the position, and his floor vision. He seems like the most ideal candidate to break out as an NBA player, though his poor decision-making and so-so jumper definitely make him a risk. He's in the 14-to-22 draft range.
22. Jerian Grant
If Grant were 19 or 20 years old, he'd be a top-10 pick. He has had as good a season as anyone on the board. However, he turns 23 before opening night of the 2015-16 NBA season, and that "older age" often scares teams from taking a player so high. But Grant actually put up slightly better numbers as a junior, when he was just 21. So Grant's season wasn't a fluke, nor was it good just because he was older than his opponents. I think he might be the most underrated guy on our Board. And like so many players right now in this area of the draft, he could go anywhere from No. 14 to 22.
23. Cameron Payne
Payne was the hottest point guard in the draft until Tyus Jones won Duke a title on Monday. Payne and Jones have a lot of similarities as pass-first floor generals who play the game with a high basketball IQ but still can put the ball in the basket. The difference is that Payne is taller and a better athlete than Jones, two major sticking points with NBA scouts. Like Dunn and Grant, he's in the 14-to-22 range.
24. Tyus Jones
To be sure, Jones was having a solid tournament before the national championship game. But he simply took over in the second half against Wisconsin and carried Duke on his shoulders to the title. It certainly wasn't the first time we've seen it from him this season. If Jones was a few inches taller, or a faster, more explosive athlete, he'd be a top-five pick. His floor vision, basketball IQ and elite sense of when to pass versus when to score are special. In six games in the tournament he committed just eight turnovers, including only one in 37 minutes during the title game. The challenge for Jones is that he isn't two inches taller and he isn't a great athlete, and the combination of the two puts a serious ceiling on his draft stock. Still, the analytics crew loves him (he's in the top five of Kevin Pelton's statistical big board) and so do old-school scouts, who rarely find a freshman who sees the game as well as Jones does. If he declares, he'll go in the 17-to-25 range.
25. Montrezl Harrell
Harrell, after staying in the 12-to-20 range for the past two seasons, has slowly started to slide in the past few weeks. He has done nothing wrong. In fact, he's gotten better every season, has added to his offensive game and brings explosive athleticism and toughness to the table. But with the rise of several young point guards into the top 30, he has struggled to stand out and maintain his draft status. I think 17 to 25 is his draft range.
26. Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
Hollis-Jefferson's decision to declare for the draft was an interesting one. On one hand, scouts acknowledge that he's arguably the best wing defender in the draft and a talented athlete who can finish above the rim. But his lack of a jump shot is a major worry, and with so much talent ahead of him on the Big Board, it's been hard for Hollis-Jefferson to get much traction this season. He's in the 18-to-25 range.
27. Zhou Qi
Scouts will get a great look at Zhou in the Nike Hoop Summit this weekend. Already they are talking about his massive 7-6 wingspan and excellent perimeter skills for a player his size. He put up impressive numbers in China. However, his lack of strength (he's very, very skinny for an NBA big man) give pause. Nevertheless, at this stage in the draft, he has as much or more upside than anyone else on the board.
28. Terry Rozier
Rozier's decision to declare for the draft was a somewhat controversial one. Those who love him see his toughness, athleticism and ability to finish at the rim and project him as mid-first-rounder. The skeptical ones question whether he's really a point guard and wonder about his jump shot. Thus, he has a pretty wide range right now, from about 18 to 35.
29. Delon Wright
Mostly because of his age (he'll be 23 on April 26), Wright is struggling to keep up with younger point guards on the board. But make no mistake, there are several scouts and GMs who really love him, and he tests out analytically much higher than this ranking. At the moment he's stuck in that 20-to-35 range along with several others.
30. Christian Wood
Wood cracks our Big Board for the first time and there's a lot to like. He has great size, length and athleticism for his position. He is an explosive leaper, a good rebounder and a tremendous shot-blocker. He also has a much-improved perimeter game and he shot 45 percent on 2-point jump shots this season. He even has some 3-point range. He lacks strength and can often fall in love with his jump shot at the expense of playing in the post, but there is upside there for a team willing to wait on his development.
Next five in: Grayson Allen, G, Duke; Demetrius Jackson, PG, Notre Dame; Caris LeVert, G/F, Michigan; Jarell Martin, F, LSU; Justin Anderson, G/F, Virginia