OFFICIAL NFL Discussion Thread: 2015-16 Season - Congrats to the Denver Broncos and their fans! SB 5

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Sheil Kapadia

The Seahawks have suspended FB Derrick Coleman indefinitely, pending further investigation, a team spokesperson announced. Coleman is being held at King County Jail on investigation of vehicular assault and hit and run.
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The streak continues.
 
Per source, Raiders expected to place Justin Tuck on season-ending IR w/ torn pectoral muscle. He'll have surgery in next few days.




:frown:
 
Tim McManus @Tim_McManus
Bradford: sometimes people question my leadership because I'm quiet, but they don't see what I do behind the scenes.

Ralph Vacchiano @RVacchianoNYDN
Kelly added "I hope someday to be like Coach Coughlin and win enough games where I can stay around long enough without speculation."
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I like Sam Bradford, I hope he can pull it altogether

he pulled the offense into the shower (pause) for a meeting before kick off on Sunday and fans here are starting to rally for him here
 
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@PFF: Top 5 Edge Defenders by 2015 Season Grade:
V. Miller 91.6 -DEN
K. Mack 90.1 -OAK
J. Houston 88.7 -KC
C. Avril 87.5 -SEA
P. McPhee 86.5 -CHI






Mack :pimp:
 
He's a few big dropped passes away from having a very good season. Chip just needs to let him play to his strengths and air it out more, which he has the last two games.
 
Mike Chappell @mchappell51
#colts OC Pep Hamilton: Andrew Luck. Pagano, doctors won't allow him to play if he's not ready to play.
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Mike Chappell @mchappell51
Hamilton: If Bradshaw gets the green light for Sunday, he'll be tossed into offensive mix.
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Proshares said:
He's a few big dropped passes away from having a very good season. Chip just needs to let him play to his strengths and air it out more, which he has the last two games.
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he really has had a lot of good passes dropped, I dunno what is up with all the drops but I can legit think of at least 10 very catchable balls that receivers dropped especially Jordan Matthews

there were two wheel routes in the Jets game that were touchdowns if not dropped by Sproles and Ryan Mathews

he does need to clean up the redzone INT's but besides that I think the last couple games we have seen glimpses of why he was the #1 overall pick, also helps Kelly stopped a lot of that zone read BS, every D knows Sam Bradford is no run threat
 
Proshares said:
He's a few big dropped passes away from having a very good season. Chip just needs to let him play to his strengths and air it out more, which he has the last two games.
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Sam Bradford would have 1,457 passing yards this season if it wasn't for dropped passes. That would be second most in the NFL right now.

— Anthony DiBona (@Anthony_DiBona) October 12, 2015
 
Willie Snead IV @Willie_Snead4G
Thursday Night Football against the Falcons tonight. Can't wait to get out there n ball for my… instagram.com/p/83e6CrAe1J/
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kinda feeling a Saints victory tonight, Falcons 5-0 feeling themselves with the Saints at the lowest of the low at home
 
I didn't even go into the WIR, gotta imagine JetPac was intolerable again.

LT Jr. gonna run rampant in NO tonight.
 
Rob Gronkowski most valuable non-QB to contending teams
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New England Patriots  quarterback Tom Brady  was on a Hall of Fame track before tight end Rob Gronkowski  came along in 2010, but the numbers surrounding their on-field relationship are nonetheless staggering. Take this one, for instance: Brady has been twice as likely to throw a touchdown pass when Gronkowski is on the field with him.

That statistical correlation (see chart) lines up with what any football analyst can see in the games, making Gronkowski my choice as the non-quarterback a contending team could least  afford to lose. Settling on nine other players in my top-10 list required tougher decisions. An undrafted Seattle Seahawk made the list over Marshawn Lynch  and Kam Chancellor, while the Dallas Cowboys' lone representative earned a spot despite having played only 34 snaps for the organization.

An important note:  This is a look at non-quarterbacks deemed most valuable to their teams' specific postseason equations, not a ranking of the best non-quarterbacks on contending teams.
[h2]1. Rob Gronkowski, TE, New England Patriots[/h2]
Gronkowski's return to health played a leading role in jump-starting New England's offense last season. Since 2010, when Gronk arrived via the draft, Brady has produced a top-five Total QBR score with Gronkowski on the field and a top-12 version when Gronkowski was out of the game. His passer rating without Gronkowski (87.7) would rank between the ones for Matt Schaub  (88.0) and Andy Dalton  (87.3) among 30 qualifying quarterbacks since 2010. Brady's passer rating with Gronkowski on the field (105.5) would trail only the 110.7 forAaron Rodgers  over that span. The chart below speaks loudly.

Tom Brady With Gronkowski On/Off Field
[table][tr][th=""]  [/th][th=""]GRONK OFF FIELD[/th][th=""]GRONK ON FIELD[/th][/tr][tr][td]Pass attempts[/td][td]1,142[/td][td]2,416[/td][/tr][tr][td]TD passes[/td][td]39[/td][td]164[/td][/tr][tr][td]TD pass rate[/td][td]3.4%[/td][td]6.8%[/td][/tr][tr][td]Yards/pass attempt[/td][td]7.1[/td][td]7.9[/td][/tr][tr][td]Yards/completion[/td][td]11.5[/td][td]12.0[/td][/tr][tr][td]Passer rating[/td][td]87.7[/td][td]105.5[/td][/tr][tr][td]Total QBR[/td][td]60.9[/td][td]72.9[/td][/tr][/table][h2]2. Von Miller, OLB, Denver Broncos[/h2]
The Broncos are one of 11 teams over the past five seasons to start 5-0. They rank last among those teams -- by far -- in points per game, expected points added per game and yards per game. The 2013 Broncos are also on that list of 5-0 teams, except they ranked first in all those offensive categories. That is how much things have changed in Denver.

Moral of the story? Denver is undefeated because of its defense, and Miller is widely regarded as the best player on that defense. He ranks first in Pro Football Focus grading for edge defenders this season, just ahead of Khalil Mack  andJustin Houston. While the Broncos do have good overall talent on defense -- Chris Harris and Brandon Marshall  were versatile players under consideration here -- Miller really is the driving force. The team's current formula for winning would need tweaking without him.
[h2]3. Greg Hardy, DE, Dallas Cowboys[/h2]
A weak NFC East and Tony Romo's eventual return places the Cowboys into the contender category (at least for me) despite their 2-3 record. Hardy dominated against New England in his Cowboys debut, collecting two sacks and forcing a fumble. He finished that game with the highest individual PFF grade for any Cowboys defender in Week 5.

Hardy's presence helped the Cowboys hang with the Patriots for a half, despite little support from a Romo-less offense. Continued play near that level could help Dallas compete until the QB's return. And if the Cowboys can remain in the playoff picture, Hardy's presence would greatly improve Dallas' Super Bowl chances.
[h2]4. Luke Kuechly, MLB, Carolina Panthers[/h2]
The case against placing Kuechly on this list is easy to make but also superficial. Yes, the Panthers are 4-0 despite getting only 32 snaps from Kuechly, including zero since Week 1. Yes, cornerback Josh Norman  has been the defensive star for Carolina. But here are the starting quarterbacks the Panthers have faced this season: Blake Bortles, Ryan Mallett, Luke McCown  and Jameis Winston. These are not the types of quarterbacks Carolina will have to beat if the team is still playing deep in the postseason.

In recent seasons, the Panthers have gone as far as their Kuechly-led defense could take them. They have gone 17-5 in the regular season when their defense ranked in the top five for expected points added per game (2013, 2015). They are 20-27-1 the rest of the time, when their defenses ranked between 19th and 31st. Carolina's quarterback play has been stable over that span, with QBR scores between 56.1 and 60.4.
[h2]5. Jared Veldheer, LT, Arizona Cardinals[/h2]
Jared Veldheer has been a quiet linchpin on the left side for the Cardinals. Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Deone Bucannon  was a sleeper consideration given all he does in the Cardinals' defense. But keeping Carson Palmer  healthy is the No. 1 priority for Arizona this season, and no player other than the quarterback himself figures into that equation more prominently than the Cardinals' current left tackle. Veldheer has not been at his best so far this season, but his addition before the 2014 season solved one of Arizona's most gnawing problems (so well, in fact, that Veldheer is increasingly taken for granted). Losing Veldheer would destabilize the line and complicate life for Palmer, left guard Mike Iupati  and the offense in general.
[h2]6. Julio Jones, WR, Atlanta Falcons[/h2]
Jones is the highest-rated receiver in PFF grading this season and a big part of Atlanta's high-scoring offense. On the bright side for the Falcons, quarterbackMatt Ryan  had 10 touchdown passes with only one interception when Jones was off the field last season. And when injuries appeared to slow Jones over the past couple weeks, the Falcons found other ways to win. Could they do that consistently over an extended period if opponents no longer had to build their defensive game plans around containing Jones? That is debatable.
[h2]7. Clay Matthews, ILB/OLB, Green Bay Packers[/h2]
Problems on defense and/or special teams have derailed the Packers' championship chances in recent seasons. While it's true that Aaron Rodgers' presence keeps Green Bay in the playoff conversation almost by default, the Packers' expectations are higher than that, putting pressure on the defense to upgrade its performance. It's tough to envision that happening without Matthews' talent and versatility playing a key role.

There were candidates to consider from the Packers' offense, but Rodgers and coach Mike McCarthy have shown an ability to produce at high levels using multiple styles and personnel combinations. Rodgers' QBR score this season is actually higher than it was in 2014, when top receiver Jordy Nelson  was available and Rodgers won MVP honors.
[h2]8. Michael Bennett, DL, Seattle Seahawks[/h2]
The Seahawks aren't quite as good in their secondary thanks to personnel changes at cornerback, putting additional pressure on the defensive front. Bennett and teammate Cliff Avril  are the key players from that standpoint. Both could merit spots on this list, but Bennett's versatility sets him apart.

A coach whose team has faced Bennett compared him to J.J. Watt  in terms of disruptiveness. "Bennett is so quick and disruptive, and he has top-notch instincts," this coach said. "Some guys are dumbasses who wouldn't see it coming if alarm bells went off. 72 sees everything. He feels everything."

Marshawn Lynch would be another good Seahawks candidate, but backupThomas Rawls  has topped 100 yards two separate times with Lynch out due to injury.
[h2]9. Tyler Eifert, TE, Cincinnati Bengals[/h2]
You could make a case for receiver A.J. Green  representing the Bengals instead, but the numbers clearly show what Cincinnati watchers have known intuitively: Andy Dalton has thrown far too many interceptions over the years when forcing the ball to Green. For his career (counting playoffs), Dalton has 36 touchdowns with 34 interceptions targeting Green, compared to a 75/40 TD/INT split targeting everyone else.

Eifert's return to health this season gives Dalton a badly needed alternative. Eifert, who trails only Gronkowski among tight ends in PFF grading, leads all players at the position in touchdown receptions (five) while ranking third in receptions (24).
[h2]10. Darrelle Revis, CB, New York Jets[/h2]
ESPN's Football Power Index gives the Jets a 72 percent shot at reaching the playoffs (for the AFC East, it's 98 percent for New England, 52 percent for Buffalo and 1 percent for Miami). That and a 3-1 record put the Jets into the "contender" category, which makes Revis an obvious candidate for consideration here.

The Jets know they can count on Revis in man coverage, which gives Todd Bowles and the defensive staff additional freedom in their blitz packages. That is key for a team that wants to win with defense and a strong ground game. Speaking of that ground game, Chris Ivory  also was a consideration for this list.
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JPZx said:
Mike Chappell @mchappell51
#colts OC Pep Hamilton: Andrew Luck. Pagano, doctors won't allow him to play if he's not ready to play.
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Mike Chappell @mchappell51
Hamilton: If Bradshaw gets the green light for Sunday, he'll be tossed into offensive mix.
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Just keep him out for another week. Do the smart thing. 

Don't let pride or ego get in the way of the inevitable.
 
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