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OFFICIAL 2015 FANTASY FOOTBALL THREAD

post #1 of 18239
Thread Starter 
Fantasy season is right around the corner, time to start researching and mock-drafting. Let's use this thread to discuss everything fantasy related- rankings, players, trades, etc. I'll drop some helpful links below.

Rotoworld - My go-to site. Great articles and news blurbs for every player.
FantasyPros - Rankings, ADP, cheat sheets, research articles, news blurbs.
FFToolbox - Rankings, ADP, cheat sheets.
Fantasy Football Calculator - Mock drafts for a bunch of different league formats. My preferred site for mock drafting.
ESPN Fantasy Football
Yahoo Fantasy Football
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post #2 of 18239
I've been doing some way too early mock drafts. Decided to write up this article:

http://g42sports.com/fantasy-football-mock-draft/

Cliffs: Really wanna avoid anyone on the Broncos this year. I like Julius Thomas if there's value late as a backup to Greg Olsen. Really think Thomas does well since young QBs like feeding their TE usually. Wanna avoid DeMarco and every Eagles RB, as well as avoiding Patriots and Panthers RBs. Think Duke Johnson can be a big sleeper if he's there last few rounds.

Ideal team for me would be a combo of:

Stafford/Bridgewater/Tannenhill
Megatron/Alshon/AJ Green/ODB/Dez
Mike Evans/Kelvin Benjamin/Jordy/Edelman/TY
Golden Tate/Cooper/Landry/Hopkins/Cruz/Andre Johnson
Lacy/Lynch/Forte
Gordon/Hill/Charles (if I could get 3 of these 6 backs I'll be ecstatic)

Think CJ Spiller could be a steal. Avoiding Forsett, Rashad Jennings, Hyde, Ellington, Gore.

Wanna grab Jets defense if possible toward the end of the draft.
Warning: Spoiler! (Click to show)
It’s way too early to have a fantasy football mock draft that’s concrete, but it’s better to get one’s feet wet early on, troubleshoot, and figure out the best primer for success.

This will be based on a PPR league and what one should look for when drafting a potential championship winner. The first thing one should want when drafting a wide receiver is a big time target monster—someone who will consistently see the ball at least eight times a week and is capable of making plays. Ideally, every winning team has a Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Jordy Nelson, A.J. Green, Odell Beckham Jr., Mike Evans, type of player who can be counted on to contribute at least seven points each week. One’s second wide receiver should be a big redzone target.

So ideally, for one’s two wide receivers, one’s best bet is drafting a combination of: Megatron, Bryant, Brown, Jones, Nelson, Green, ODB, Evans, Kelvin Benjamin, Alshon Jeffrey, Randall Cobb, TY Hilton and Julian Edelman.

If you’re the type of person that prefers to run three wide outs—using your flex or that’s just the way your league is situated—the next crop of guys you want to target are your low risk, blue collar receivers with either explosive potential or a guaranteed workload—like Golden Tate, Amari Cooper, Brandin Cooks, Jarvis Landry, DeAndre Hopkins, Brandon Marshall, Victor Cruz, Andre Johnson, Desean Jackson and Vincent Jackson. Sammy Watkins is an intriguing player to consider, but the combination of no quarterback and Rex Ryan leave a lot to be desired.

There are a couple of people who haven’t been mention that you’re wondering why they’re left out: Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Why haven’t they been mentioned? This is the year you err caution and stay away from Peyton Manning.

Although Manning is one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time, he finished the second half of last season in a terrible fashion. He was injured, ineffective and it looked like his age finally caught up to him. In order to be safe, stay away from him and his team. Let someone else waste a high draft pick expecting vintage Manning, and if it works out, great, good for them, but if it doesn’t, you’re not affected and you still have a chance to win your league.

That means avoid running backs from the Denver Broncos. C.J. Anderson has a frothy ADP this year that you should stay away from. Was last season an aberration? Maybe, maybe not, but fact of the matter is, there’s safer bets out there.

For a running back I look for a combo of two things: a workhorse and a PPR machine. Ideal candidates who fit this mold are Marshawn Lynch and Matt Forte. Their age is a little worrisome, but if you miss out on Eddie Lacy, those are decent consolation prizes. RB’s to avoid are those who may get vultured or play for Chip Kelly. Last season Kelly cost me a championship. In the semi-finals, I trailed by two points with LeSean McCoy. The Eagles had four goal-line chances and Shady was vultured every time, ruining my season and what would’ve been a guaranteed championship.

Although he had a tremendous year last season, avoid DeMarco Murray. The combination of workload, losing the Dallas Cowboys offensive line and Chip Kelly’s nonsense is the trifecta of a wasted draft pick. Target LeVeon Bell, Jeremy Hill, Melvin Gordon, Lacy, Jamal Charles, Forte, Lynch, and if you’re a risk taker who believes in a Rex Ryan offense for some weird reason, McCoy.

RB’s to avoid are not limited to but include: Alfred Morris, every Broncos and Eagles RB, Arian Foster, Justin Forsett, Rashad Jennings, any New England Patriots RB, any Carolina Panthers RB, Andre Ellington, Carlos Hyde and Frank Gore. Each of those players either has injury risks, questionable workloads or are just ADP traps.

The biggest trap people fall into on draft day is the early selection of a QB. Taking a QB before you have secured two RB’s, two WR’s and a TE is the best way to underperform and find yourself scrambling to fill your needs. Yes the NFL is a quarterback league, but when it comes to fantasy purposes, you can get a very good QB in the mid to late rounds—your Matt Ryan, Matthew Stafford, Teddy Bridgewater, Ryan Tannenhill types who are good enough to get you 18 plus points per week without putting you in the position to have glaring holes elsewhere.

Every team wants Rob Gronkowski at TE but unless you’re willing to grab him in the first three rounds, you’re not getting him, so a solid alternative is Greg Olsen. Cam Newton will feed Olsen plenty this year, like he always does, and he’s the best second tier TE available when it comes to ADP value. One TE who has become undervalued and potentially a steal because of the team he signed with is Julius Thomas. If you can get him in the scrap heap, you do it without hesitating. Yes Thomas is now playing with Blake Bortles, but young QB’s who struggle love feeding their TE. I watched Mark Sanchez do it for years with Dustin Keller. Thomas isn’t losing value by leaving Denver, he’s gaining it with the decreased ADP.

Avoid Kyle Rudolph, Jimmy Graham, Jordan Reed and Zach Ertz. Graham is obviously worth picking, but there are usage questions in play. The others, they get hurt too often or aren’t featured enough to be worthwhile.

Kicker and Defense should be the least of your concerns. Don’t take them until you’ve built up your bench with best players available for trade purposes. After you have a few guys who are sleepers and trade chips, you can go after a kicker and defense. I personally, want a kicker who nails 50 yards like Greg Zuerlein and I’m very big on the New York Jets defense this year under Todd Bowles. There’s good ADP with the Jets and they can score a touchdown per game.

There’s a few sleepers worth eying: Ameer Abdullah, Nelson Agholor, Jaylen Strong, Duke Johnson and Davante Adams. Stay away from every other Cleveland Browns RB, Duke is taking their job.

Knowing all of this, you’re in a position to have a great season and be the last man standing. Avoid the value traps, flashy names past their prime and make the best selections possible per your metrics. There’s no need to reach for a quarterback ever, and there’s even less of a reason to trust Peyton Manning blindly this season after the way he finished last year.
post #3 of 18239
Here's something I've thought about all offseason and am looking for some verification...

Keep: Demarco Murray at Round 2 or Odell at Round 9? PPR league

Been leaning Odell.
post #4 of 18239
Thread Starter 
^^ Good read. I agree with everything you said. I'm loving mid-tier QBs this year as well. I commish a 2-QB league with my friends and I think I'm gonna shy away from grabbing an elite guy in the first round and instead target those guys.

One thing I semi-disagree with is avoiding Forsett. Expectations should definitely be tempered since he was pretty much +800 over his career average for yards/season last year. But I think he's a good PPR pick now that he has Trestman calling the plays.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nowitness41Dirk View Post

Here's something I've thought about all offseason and am looking for some verification...

Keep: Demarco Murray at Round 2 or Odell at Round 9?

Been leaning Odell.
ODB no doubt. You can re-draft Murray in the 2nd round. But you won't sniff Odell anywhere near the 9th laugh.gif.
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post #5 of 18239
Yeah ODB for sure. Losing a 9th rounder, that's great value.
post #6 of 18239
IDC if it's rash, depending on how my draft is going, I will be looking to take the Jets D earlier than the norm.

My target QB is definitely Luck.
Edited by macbk - 6/30/15 at 3:16pm
New York Yankees | New York Jets
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New York Yankees | New York Jets
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post #7 of 18239
Jets D is gonna be legit this year. I could see them almost scoring a TD a game.
post #8 of 18239
*Bookmarked* smokin.gif
post #9 of 18239
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by macbk View Post

IDC if it's rash, depending on how my draft is going, I will be looking to take the Jets D earlier than the norm.

My target QB is definitely Luck.
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyRedStorm View Post

Jets D is gonna be legit this year. I could see them almost scoring a TD a game.
I'm normally a D/ST streamer, but I play in a league where add/drops are $5 each so it's not worth it there. Last year I grabbed the Bills late and they payed huge dividends. I'm definitely with you guys on the Jets this year as well.

Gonna have to spend a 2nd round pick on Luck. Not me. RB and WR corps will suffer as a result. I'd rather grab Ryan/Romo/Stafford/Tannehill in the 7th-10th.
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post #10 of 18239
Same. I did a mock taking A-Rod second and was disgusted with the team I had. Just couldn't piece together the team as well as I would've liked to rationalize it.

Give me 2 WR's, 2 RB's and a TE before I grab a QB. I'm even inclined to sure up my flex and another player before going QB. I'm big on Teddy Football this year for his ADP.
post #11 of 18239

edit


Edited by Anderson - 7/1/15 at 11:11am

 

 

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post #12 of 18239
p4l this is gonna be good
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post #13 of 18239
Fantasy Rundown is another good site. Posts links of articles from different websites. It's updated each day.

As far as fantasy goes, I haven't done much research at all. Typically I'm on it early, but now I've been kinda lazy with the research. My draft isn't till August though so I still got plenty of time to do some research and catch up on player news.
post #14 of 18239
Thread Starter 
^ My drafts are usually all right around Labor Day weekend. It's never too early to start researching laugh.gif.
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post #15 of 18239
Good to see this thread back pimp.gif In my keeper league I can keep one guy so I've decided between Jeremy Hill or CJ Anderson. Who would you guys take?
Lakers / Dodgers / Falcons / MCFC
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Lakers / Dodgers / Falcons / MCFC
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post #16 of 18239
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by HighRiser07 View Post

Good to see this thread back pimp.gif In my keeper league I can keep one guy so I've decided between Jeremy Hill or CJ Anderson. Who would you guys take?
What are the stipulations? Based just off of player vs. player I'd go with Hill. I'm keeping him in my keeper league. I lose a 13th round pick pimp.gif.
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post #17 of 18239
Thoughts on TJ Yeldon? I wanna target him as my rb3 behind Lacy and Gordon ideally. Would be a potential flex option in a ppr league.
post #18 of 18239
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyRedStorm View Post

Thoughts on TJ Yeldon? I wanna target him as my rb3 behind Lacy and Gordon ideally. Would be a potential flex option in a ppr league.

Expanding on this, are any of the rookie RBs worth picking up as RB2 or RB3 or FLEX options: Melvin Gordon, TJ Yeldon, Todd Gurley, Tevin Coleman.
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post #19 of 18239
I've been targeting Gordon as my rb2.
post #20 of 18239
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnnyRedStorm View Post

I've been targeting Gordon as my rb2.

I've been eyeing him as well. Is this assuming you'd be going RB-RB with your first two picks in a snake draft? nerd.gif
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post #21 of 18239
Rb wr most likely then Gordon in round 3 that's how I've been mocking
post #22 of 18239
@JohnnyRedStorm

Thanks! I read your article on your website; that's good stuff man! smokin.gif

I'll be on the lookout for future write ups!

I've always wanted to start up my own sports blog and just write, but I've always been too busy to do so mean.gif

In regards to QBs though, your thought process aligns with my philosophy as far as avoiding drafting one early and picking up one in the mid rounds or late. With that being said, I felt like Matt Ryan has never been quite good enough to win me a championship.

And while I don't take anything from FF analysts as gospel, these little tidbits on Stafford were enough to possibly make me want to look elsewhere:

4. After Week 1 last season, Matthew Stafford averaged only 13.9 fantasy points per game.

5. That was 25th among qualified quarterbacks, worse than (among others) Ryan Fitzpatrick, Kyle Orton and Mike Glennon.

6. Stafford's completion percentage on deep passes (thrown at least 15 yards downfield) has decreased in each of the past three seasons.

7. His interceptions on deep throws have increased each of the past three seasons.

8. In a six-year NFL career, Stafford has finished as a top-5 fantasy QB once.

With that being said, I've been targeting Tannehill and Romo the most in the mocks I've done thus far.
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post #23 of 18239
Thanks for reading pimp.gif

Yeah Stafford was bad last year, but I'm willing to give him a break with Megatron's injury and the new offense. This is the year he needs to take that next step. Having said that, it's why I want to target Teddy Bridgewater a few rounds later as an insurance policy. Feel like Teddy B could have a big year for his ADP. But you can't go wrong with Romo (that line is amazing) or Tanny either.
post #24 of 18239
in for the new season pimp.gifpimp.gif

my QB will be Ryan Tannehill...Tanny was a top 10 QB last season and could be taken in rd 10+ or go undrafted. i had Luck last year & loved him but Tanny is gonna be a much better value pick. also, instead of Luck in the 3rd you can lock down your RB/WR spots for the season & still have a top 10 QB

NY Knicks | NY Jets | NY Yankees

 

"When I die I want the Knicks/Jets to carry my casket so they can let me down one last time"

 

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NY Knicks | NY Jets | NY Yankees

 

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post #25 of 18239
Quote:
Originally Posted by nickmaz96 View Post

in for the new season pimp.gifpimp.gif

my QB will be Ryan Tannehill...Tanny was a top 10 QB last season and could be taken in rd 10+ or go undrafted. i had Luck last year & loved him but Tanny is gonna be a much better value pick. also, instead of Luck in the 3rd you can lock down your RB/WR spots for the season & still have a top 10 QB

Not a bad outlook there. May go with this approach if I'm lucky enough to.
New York Yankees | New York Jets
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New York Yankees | New York Jets
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post #26 of 18239
So I decided I'm gonna keep Jeremy Hill in my keeper league, I'd be losing a 9th round pick. So I was thinking of going with two elite WR's with my first two picks and QB and RB right after.

Its a strategy I could see working out in my favor, what do you guys think?
Lakers / Dodgers / Falcons / MCFC
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Lakers / Dodgers / Falcons / MCFC
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post #27 of 18239
Hill will be a good keep, Cincy likes him, is going to use him more and he finished strong last year. His style is better suited for the division
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TEAM ECONOMICS

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post #28 of 18239
Anyone ever do a draft at Dave & Buster's? I'm the commissioner of a league and thinking of doing it there this year.
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post #29 of 18239
Thread Starter 
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikejs210 View Post

Anyone ever do a draft at Dave & Buster's? I'm the commissioner of a league and thinking of doing it there this year.
Never did one at D&B but one of my leagues does it at another huge sports bar here in Philly (Chickie's & Pete's) and it's great. You get your own private room, open bar, all you can eat pizza/wings/fries/mussels/snow crab legs for around $80 including tip. If D&B is anything like that I'd definitely recommend it. A lot more fun than drafting at someone's house or wherever you normally do it.
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post #30 of 18239
Any of you guys high on DGB this season? He's someone I could see having a good first year if he stays out of trouble.
Lakers / Dodgers / Falcons / MCFC
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Lakers / Dodgers / Falcons / MCFC
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