2024 NBA Draft Thread

Does Drew Timme have a future?

He’s probably gotta shoot it better to really have a chance. But man he’s got some game offensively.
 
Does Drew Timme have a future?

He’s probably gotta shoot it better to really have a chance. But man he’s got some game offensively.
He’ll get a shot cuz of the skills round the bucket but also bad on defense in college so can’t even imagine what cats would do to yo in the league :lol: ...Probly a few mins every couple games kinda guy when the offense is struggling
 
Juzang the latest guard to escape and show out from Calipari. Unfortunately, he's not doing it in the NBA like Herro and Book.
 


How top NBA draft prospects fared in the second week of the men's NCAA tournament

There are only three games left in this year's men's NCAA tournament, which means it's time to take a look at how some of the top NBA draft prospects have improved or hurt their draft stock in Indiana this month.

Here's the latest intel on players who've likely played their last college game, like potential No. 1 overall pick Evan Mobley, as well as players who'll get another chance to make an impression in the Final Four, like Gonzaga's Jalen Suggs.

What we saw last weekend

Evan Mobley | PF/C | USC

Top 100 ranking: 2

In USC's Elite Eight loss to Gonzaga, Mobley showed both what makes him such an intriguing prospect and the many things he needs to work on. He finished with with 17 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists in an up and down showing.

Mobley looked noticeably nervous right out of the gates and was taken into the post repeatedly and scored on by All-American Drew Timme. Mobley didn't have the strength or physicality needed to slow him down. Lacking a degree of toughness and aggressiveness, it's pretty clear that he's going to have some issues early in his career dealing with stronger big men in the NBA. He struggled keeping Gonzaga off the offensive glass (three defensive rebounds in 35 minutes) like he has for much of the season. Still, his huge standing reach and incredible fluidity allows him to have a huge impact on the defensive end of the floor. He's extremely difficult to shoot over, can cover ground seamlessly on the perimeter, and has phenomenal timing protecting the rim.

Mobley isn't a go-to guy offensively at this stage of his career, certainly not against a defense of this caliber. He was unable to consistently use his superior size to score with his back to the basket against the likes of Timme and the smaller Corey Kispert, coming up empty on several possessions. He did show his very high skill level from the mid and high post with some impressive drives and passes, spinning around with excellent body control and touch, and using both hands to finish from difficult vantage points. His mobility allows him to be an excellent target slipping screens and finishing above the rim or gravitating to the offensive glass for extra possessions as well.

This wasn't Mobley's best outing by any means, but he's built a very strong résumé for himself with the season he had and the fact that he was able to help USC reach the Elite Eight is a huge feather in his cap. He's well positioned to be a top draft pick depending on how the order of the lottery shakes out.

- Jonathan Givony

Jalen Suggs | PG | Gonzaga

Top 100 ranking: 5

After a quiet showing in the first three rounds of the NCAA tournament, Suggs had a signature performance in leading Gonzaga to the Final Four, posting a near triple-double with 18 points, 10 rebounds and 8 assists.

Suggs showed what makes him such an interesting guard prospect on both ends of the floor. He repeatedly pushed the ball in the open floor, using his outstanding quickness and ability to accelerate powerfully out of changes of speed to get right into the teeth of the defense and either finish aggressively or draw fouls. He was equally as impressive in the half-court, picking apart USC's zone with timely cuts and manipulating ball-screens intelligently to find the open man with pocket passes or with over the top lobs for easy baskets. He played an unselfish and highly under-control game, only being robbed of a triple-double because of good looks he generated that rimmed out.

Just 1-for-11 from beyond the arc in the NCAA tournament, Suggs got on track with his jump shot too. He made a pair of off the dribble 3-pointers and knocked down several pretty floaters and pull-up jumpers.

Suggs was highly disruptive against an overmatched USC backcourt that wasn't prepared for the level of intensity, physical skills and competitiveness that he offers on every possession. He prevented USC from getting into its offense, blowing up plays and being an absolute nuisance on and off the ball as usual.

Suggs reiterated once again how much his serious-minded approach, versatility, toughness and winning style should have any NBA team drafting in the top three thinking long and hard about what he could do to elevate their culture.

- Givony

Franz Wagner | SF/PF | Michigan

Top 100 ranking: 8

Wagner ended his sophomore season -- and likely his college career -- in agonizing fashion, missing two potential go-ahead 3s in the final seconds of Michigan's Elite Eight loss to UCLA while suffering defeat at the hands of Mick Cronin and the red-hot UCLA Bruins.

During a 1-for-10 shooting night, Wagner airballed an uncontested pull-up 3 with 12 seconds left that would have put Michigan up one, then missed a last-second heave with 0.5 left that could have made him a hero in Ann Arbor forever. The 6-foot-9 German forward shot just 2-for-16 from 3 in the NCAA tournament, missing his last eight 3-point attempts. That resurfaced some questions about his ability to score the ball consistently in the half court and his fluctuating confidence from behind the arc. However, Wagner's signature performance against Scottie Barnes in the Sweet 16 and the consistent two-way versatility and toughness he showed over the course of the tournament has earned him legitimate looks in a top 10 that lacks much clarity after 5.

When I first interviewed Wagner when he was a 6-foot-5, 15-year-old guard in January 2017, he said this of his game: "I think I can bring energy to the team and I'm really competitive."

Over four years and four inches later, that's exactly what Wagner brought to Michigan this season. He went for 15 points and 7 rebounds in a win over LSU and Cameron Thomas, defending multiple positions, making heady reads and attacking the rim with physicality. He outdueled fellow lottery pick Scottie Barnes and Florida State to the tune of 13 points, 10 rebounds, 5 assists and 0 turnovers as the catalyst of a 20-point win. He had no shortage of signature performances against Big Ten foes during the regular season.

With a 6-11 wingspan, a high motor and excellent technique, Wagner has proven to be a highly impactful defender both on and off the ball and there's little to suggest that won't continue in the NBA. He's aggressive fighting over the top of screens. He's technically sound on closeouts. He's active digging down on the ball when one pass away. He plays angles well and uses his size and instincts to make plays at the rim as both the primary and weakside defender. He understands at rim verticality. He's a great positional rebounder.

Wagner's clear swing skill is his shooting, especially when you consider the fact that he plays with a high center of gravity and isn't overly dynamic with the ball for a wing. With high hips he also struggles with balance at times and isn't as comfortable as he could be changing speeds or directions, suggesting his best minutes may come at power forward. But Wagner can push himself in transition, deliver heady pocket passes as a pick-and-roll ball handler, and is highly unselfish. So long as he's not asked to be a No. 1 or No. 2 scoring option, Wagner still looks the part of an NBA starter and an ideal fit in the modern NBA.

Although younger than projected one-and-dones like Barnes, Mobley, Suggs and Sharife Cooper, Wagner has more than 1,600 minutes of NCAA experience and 59 games of high-level pro experience to his name with Alba Berlin. He'll enter the NBA battle-tested with a mature style of play. He has as high of a floor as any prospect projected outside the top-10. The sour end to the season hurts now, but expect Wagner to still garner significant interest in the top-10 thanks to his age, versatility and skill level at a position every NBA team is looking to fill.

- Mike Schmitz

Scottie Barnes | SF/PF | Florida State

Top 100 ranking: 9

Barnes did not have a great NCAA tournament, posting 18 points, 11 turnovers, 9 assists, 6 rebounds and 4 steals in 73 minutes of action before bowing out in the Sweet 16. The ACC Rookie of the Year was outplayed by Wagner, who is actually 26 days younger than Barnes, despite being a sophomore. The disappointing blowout loss to Michigan generated some discussion that Barnes might actually elect to return for his sophomore year.

Barnes hasn't really established what his role will be offensively in the NBA. He started the season miscast as a point guard and ended it playing off the ball. He was rarely guarded on the perimeter due to his shaky outside shot. Turnovers were a consistent issue due to his high handle, casual approach and the lack of perimeter shooting around him that allowed teams to sag off him and load up the paint with impunity.

Barnes' passing ability is clearly his best attribute. Surrounding him with shooting will be crucial to maximize that skill, providing him with better spacing than what he enjoyed at Florida State. His size, length and aggressiveness really shine through most vividly in the open court right now, but he's had some impressive moments operating out of pick-and-roll sets. He can see over the top of defenses and use his 7-foot-2 wingspan to get to the rim and finish in traffic.

While the results weren't always there this season, Barnes' shooting mechanics do look much improved from last year, offering some hope that he will be able to make jumpers with his feet set consistently enough to not be a liability on that end down the road.

Barnes' length, intensity, instincts and IQ make him one of the more versatile players in the draft on the defensive end of the floor. He's proved capable of guarding guards and big men alike, regularly being asked to spearhead the top of Florida State's press.

Barnes' lack of shooting and struggles as a one-on-one creator make him somewhat of a situational fit in today's NBA. He'll depend on a team's existing personnel and style of play -- with comparisons ranging from the likes of Draymond Green to Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. But he's such a winner and so instinctual on both ends of the floor that it's hard not envisioning a scenario where he finds success in the NBA in some capacity, even if clearly he's not going to be for every coach.

- Givony

Moses Moody | SG/SF | Arkansas

Top 100 ranking: 21

No prospect's draft stock took more of a hit over the past two weeks than Moody's.

The 18-year-old Arkansas wing entered the NCAA tournament with considerable momentum. He capped off an SEC Freshman of the Year season by averaging 22.2 points over his final four pre-tournament games, knocking down 43% of his triples and adding value on both ends of the floor.

In four NCAA tournament games, however, Moody averaged only 13 points in 35.8 minutes per game. He shot a woeful 41% from 2 and 3-for-17 from 3 while totaling just 2 assists to 7 turnovers. Moody's defensive intensity wavered, his aggression was sporadic, his shot looked flat, he proved too willing to settle for contested 2s, and his lack of burst, bounce, strength and quickness against teams like Texas Tech and Baylor really limited him on both ends.

On one hand, Moody entered the season projected outside the lottery as more of a floor-spacing wing who can make an open shot and attack a closeout with the wingspan (7-foot-1) to add value defensively. That's the role we saw him play at Montverde. His limitations as a ball handler and shot-creator in more of a featured role are further proof that he's best used as a complementary piece with more dynamic players around him.

But even with that in mind, NBA scouts won't be encouraged by how rattled he looked at times amid his struggles on the brightest stage, even throwing a panic outlet pass out of bounds against Baylor. Too often Arkansas looked crisper with Moody on the bench than on the floor. Despite an impressive statistical season overall, his issues against top-flight teams were a theme all year. Moody beat up on the SEC's bottom half yet had issues scoring efficiently against the conference's elite. In 11 games against teams under .500, Moody averaged 18.4 points on 60.3% from 2 and 43.3% from 3. In 21 games against teams with a winning record, Moody shot just 42% from 2 and 31% from 3 while committing more turnovers than assists.

There's clearly still value in his shooting potential, scoring instincts and length, and he'll absolutely benefit from playing alongside more pass-first guards than he had at Arkansas. But given the way Moody ended the season he'll need a really strong pre-draft process to prove that he's worthy of consideration at the back end of the lottery, where he was slotted coming into the tournament.

- Schmitz

Chris Duarte | SG | Oregon

Top 100 ranking: 24

Duarte saved some of his best basketball of the season for the NCAA tournament, averaging 22 points, 6.5 assists, 4 rebounds and 2 blocks per game before bowing out in the Sweet 16.

The third-team All-American's versatility, skill level and IQ were on full display. He's an extremely efficient offensive player (66% true shooting percentage) who takes what the defense gives him but can score from anywhere on the floor. He did a better job of attacking USC's vaunted zone defense than any player has thus far in the NCAA tournament, attacking Evan Mobley patiently and aggressively with mid-range stepbacks and straight line drives.

Duarte's passing ability was somewhat of a revelation over the course of the tournament. He showed he's much more than a shooter with the way he attacked closeouts, pushed in transition and generated offense out of pick and rolls. He showed the ability to finish above the rim and chase down blocks, and he's a sound defender with strong anticipation skills and competitiveness.

Clearly one of the best players in the college game, Duarte looks like a plug and play wing prospect who could step into a NBA game tomorrow and help a team with his perimeter shooting (42% 3-pt FG), and two-way versatility. The fact that he's turning 24 in June is the only reason he's not generating lottery buzz, but there will surely be a good market for him in the first round. Plenty of playoff teams will be attracted to adding a ready-made contributor like him on a rookie-scale contract.

- Givony

Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | PF | Villanova

Top 100 ranking: 46

The Big East player of the year capped off a strong NCAA tournament with an all-around performance against No. 1 seed Baylor in the Sweet 16, showing exactly what his role could be eventually on a NBA team.

Robinson-Earl battled admirably in the paint all game long against a physically imposing frontcourt, grabbing 12 rebounds (five offensive) while showcasing his typical versatility on the defensive end. He uses verticality to his advantage to protect the rim thanks to his excellent timing, and moves his feet well on the perimeter on switches to contain smaller players.

He showed his creativity, vision and IQ as well, dishing out 14 assists in three NCAA tournament games with Villanova starting point guard Colin Gillespie sidelined due to injury.

While there's a lot of value in a tough, competitive, intelligent and versatile player like Robinson-Earl, NBA teams will want to see more from him as a perimeter shooter during the pre-draft process to make sure he can generate enough offense to stay on the floor. He's struggled to score against better defenses at times, passing up open 3-pointers for much of the season, and doesn't have the type of explosiveness to make up for that by finishing some of the plays he creates for himself around the rim.

There's a good chance that Robinson-Earl's college career is over after he was very close to leaving Villanova last season, and he's done a good job of showing the type of role he can play for a NBA team as well as some of the things he still needs to improve on.

- Givony

Davonte Davis | PG/SG | Arkansas

Top 100 ranking: N/A

For as lifeless as Moody looked, Davis brought non-stop energy, defending with intensity, relentlessly putting pressure on the rim, and dragging Arkansas to the Elite Eight while emerging as a potential 2022 prospect pending his development in a few key areas.

The 6-foot-3, long-armed freshman was the Razorbacks' spark plug in all four games, averaging 14.3 points and 6.5 rebounds while tasked with defending the likes of Mac McClung (2-for-6), Max Abmas (8-for-19), and Baylor guards Davion Mitchell and Jared Butler (4-for-11) for stretches. Willing to pick up 94 feet, sit down in a deep stance and agitate opponents with his quickness, Davis is an NBA-caliber defender with great instincts and the 6-foot-8 wingspan to handle bigger guards in time. In terms of sheer measurements, Davis has some similarities to Elfrid Payton at the same stage. On top of his defense, he's a stellar offensive and defensive rebounder willing to play a fill-in-the-gaps role alongside other stars.

Although full of burst off the bounce, he's still quite green. He's loose with his handle, sped up as a decision-maker, very left-hand dominant and not yet a threat from 3, knocking down just 2-of-13 triples in more than 700 minutes this season without the most encouraging stroke. He's at his best either using his quickness and long strides to attack the rim going left or rising up in mid-range spots to shoot over smaller defenders like he did in the final seconds to lift Arkansas past Oral Roberts. He also showed promise as a playmaker in space against Baylor, delivering bounce passes off the dribble and threading the needle a couple times in transition. For Davis to truly emerge as a breakout prospect in 2022, he'll have to extend his range, learn how to play at different speeds, and refine his decision making. But between his motor, defense, length, instincts and quick-twitch style, he has a lot of qualities that are hard to teach that surely caught the eye of NBA scouts in Indianapolis.

- Schmitz

Drew Timme | C | Gonzaga

Top 100 ranking: N/A

The 6-foot-10 sophomore center continued his incredibly productive NCAA tournament run with a strong showing against Mobley, the potential No. 1 pick, and USC's two-point defense, the best in the country. Timme scored 23 points on 19 shots in 31 minutes during Gonzaga's blowout victory. While Mobley's 7-foot-4 wingspan did bother him at times, Timme scored from all different angles, thanks to his superior physicality, footwork, touch and aggressiveness. Timme stepped through for scoop shots against Mobley, spun past him off the bounce, outran him in transition for a bucket, dropped in jump hooks and showed the ability to find cutters on the move comfortably. Timme's ability to carve out space on the interior overwhelmed the 215-pound Mobley at times, taking the 19-year-old out of shot blocking position with deep seals. The ultra-confident Timme even flashed some defensive activity, rotating with verticality, stepping in for charges, and ripping Tahj Eaddy on the perimeter, ending most of his highlights with a celebration.

Through four tourney games Timme has scored 85 points in 113 minutes while shooting an impressive 64% from 2 and dishing out 4.3 assists per game during that stretch. Allow him to catch with two feet in the paint, and it's usually a bucket at the college level. The 20-year-old is one of only 10 players in the past decade to average at least 23 points per 40 minutes on better than 65% shooting from 2. Of those 10, four are Gonzaga Bulldogs -- Brandon Clarke, Zach Collins, Kelly Olynyk and Timme -- which speaks to Mark Few's ability to get the best out of his bigs.

But how does Timme's game fit in the modern NBA? For as productive as he is, Timme still has trouble stepping out and guarding on the perimeter like we saw consistently versus Creighton, Oklahoma, and at times against USC. He isn't the forceful rim protector needed to make up for some of those limitations, averaging just 1.1 blocks per 40 minutes. At 235 pounds he doesn't quite have the natural size of a 260-pound rebounding machine like Enes Kanter. He doesn't stretch the floor like Frank Kaminsky or fellow NCAA star Luka Garza. If Timme, a 69.4% free throw shooter, can turn himself into a highly-productive shooting big like Mike Muscala, he'll surely become more attractive to NBA scouts as it's easier to live with some of his defensive shortcomings if he's an inside-outside threat and a plus as a passer.

We'll learn more about Timme should Gonzaga end up facing a dynamic, physical Baylor team in the national title game. Can he score in the post against a body like Jonathan Tcamwa Tchatchoua? Gonzaga has been able to switch most every ball screen so far this tournament, but will Timme be able to find a way to stay in front of a jet like Davion Mitchell or a smooth shotmaker like Jared Butler?

-- Schmitz

Johnny Juzang | SF | UCLA

Top 100 ranking: N/A

The catalyst of UCLA's improbable Final Four run, Juzang scored over half of the Bruins' points in their upset win over Michigan. He finished with 28 on 19 shots in 38 minutes, including a clutch floater with just over a minute remaining.

The 20-year-old Los Angeles native has now scored 108 points in his five NCAA tournament games, showcasing his terrific scoring instincts and versatile shooting stroke in the process. At 6-foot-7 with a 6-foot-10 wingspan, Juzang proved he's far more than just a standstill shooter against Michigan and all throughout the tournament, sprinting around off ball screens into catch-and-shoot jumpers, attacking closeouts into pull ups, dropping in floaters in the paint and even creating space in mid-range spots at times.

After generating considerable buzz in the preseason going into his freshman year at Kentucky, Juzang was never able to carve out a consistent role under John Calipari in Lexington, knocking down just 33% of his 3s in 12 minutes per game on a team already loaded with perimeter talent in Immanuel Quickley, Tyrese Maxey and Ashton Hagans. Able to play right away after transferring back home to UCLA, Juzang wasn't all that consistent his first couple months of this season but started to show more and more of his microwave scoring as the season went along. That ultimately culminated in a monster month of March.

While he's proven he's more than just a spot shooter at the collegiate level, Juzang will have to be more efficient with his dribble, make quicker decisions, improve as a playmaker and defend with more consistency to play at the highest level. It has resulted in buckets more often than not for UCLA, but Juzang has a tendency to rely too much on catch-and-hold style isolations for stretches rather than using his jumper as a weapon out of quick-hitting actions. Not a run-and-jump athlete or overly physical, his margin for error on the defensive end will be thin on the wing at the next level.

But UCLA wouldn't be even close to the Final Four without Juzang's heroics, and he's certainly worked himself back onto the NBA radar with his play. The early NBA success of a player like Jordan Nwora certainly helps his case long term. With projected 2022 top-10 pick Peyton Watson joining him in Westwood next season, Juzang will likely see a boost in his efficiency, playing more of an off ball role that he'll be asked to function within at the next level. In the short term, scouts will have a close eye on how he stacks up against Gonzaga wing Corey Kispert in the semifinal.

-- Schmitz

Looking ahead to the Final Four

(1) Baylor vs. (2) Houston

Saturday, 5:14 p.m. ET on CBS

NBA scouts will have a close eye on the backcourt matchups in this one with DeJon Jarreau and Quentin Grimes clashing with Davion Mitchell and Jared Butler.

The heart and soul of the Houston Cougars and the AAC's Defensive Player of the Year, Jarreau played a key role in limiting Ethan Thompson to 11 points on 3-of-12 shooting and neutralizing Buddy Boeheim to the tune of 12 points on 3-of-13 from the field. Lean and quick-footed with a 6-foot-7 wingspan, the 23-year-old New Orleans native will likely be tasked with trying to keep Mitchell, the most explosive driver in the country, out of the paint. Although he hasn't made a 3 in two games, teams have had no answer for Mitchell's lightning-quick burst and slow-to-fast attack. Jarreau will likely be asked to blanket the skilled Butler for stretches as well. Grimes is a sturdy one-on-one defender in his own right and figures to get his chances against both Mitchell and Butler, Baylor's top scorer. Butler is 8 of his last 25 from the field and whether or not he can turn in a more efficient performance against one of the top man-to-man defenses in the country will surely play a role in determining his draft stock.

NBA personnel will likely be rooting for a Baylor-Gonzaga final to get a look at how Mitchell stacks up against projected top-5 pick and defensive stalwart Jalen Suggs on both ends.

- Schmitz

(1) Gonzaga vs. (11) UCLA

Saturday, 8:34 p.m. ET on CBS

UCLA will be huge underdogs playing undefeated, No. 1-ranked Gonzaga, and will have their hands full on the interior in particular guarding the MVP of the NCAA tournament thus far, All-American Drew Timme. with starting center Cody Riley in foul trouble, the Bruins were forced to play sparsely used junior Kenneth Nwuba a career high 21 minutes against Michigan. That would likely be a disastrous outcome for the Bruins on Saturday.

The matchups at the forward position are probably the most interesting from an NBA perspective, with Corey Kispert going up against the streaky, but ultra-confident Jaime Jaquez Jr., and Jalen Suggs likely getting the task of slowing down the red-hot Johnny Juzang. Kispert, one of the most efficient and prolific scorers in the college game, has had a somewhat quiet NCAA tournament by his standards, shooting just 16-for-38 from the field over the past three games. He might be due for a breakout performance. Suggs is coming off his best game of the tournament and will be a handful for Juzang or any of the Bruins perimeter players to slow down in the open court and operating out of the pick and roll. Can Juzang, averaging 21.6 points per game through five contests, continue his blistering NCAA tournament performance with an elite defender like Suggs crowding his air space and being ultra-physical trying to contain his drives?

- Givony
 
^ He looks great on defense but looks like the type of guy you just ignore on offense. He is hella young and active tho.
 
Is Trae Young without elite range a good basketball player?
Doesn't he struggle finishing too? Haven't watched him a ton, but think I remember reading that somewhere too.

The passing is special, but he needs to give me more if I already know he's going to be a massive detriment defensively.

I had issues with Lamelo defensively coming into the draft too, but at least he has size.
 
If Cooper can get in the paint and to the ft line at a high clip like he was doing then he’ll be straight
 
Shariffe would be a great fit on the knicks imo. I can see Tom pushing on the defensive end and him averaging a lot of steals. He can also help Rj and Randle get easy shots
 
He’s a better defender than Trae, but that’s not saying much. He’s still going to struggle in man against good NBA guards.

He scores a ton of point but he’s not really converting efficiently at any level. I wouldn’t anticipate he’s going to generate free throws at the NBA level the same way he’s been able to in college...

Drafting a small guard that can’t shoot with any range or finish around the rim at an elite level inside the Top 10 is terrifying to me - and I’ve seen more than a handful of guys projecting that kind of ceiling.
 
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Anywhere but Minnesota (or Cleveland) man
 


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The elite prospects

Cade Cunningham, G, Oklahoma State (No. 1):
Cunningham is still the absolute, no-doubt, clear No. 1 on my board. He had a pair of underwhelming NCAA Tournament games, but that was largely contextual. Liberty and Oregon State collapsed down into driving lanes every single time Cunningham tried to make a move with the ball. They completely and utterly sold out to stop him. Every time he drove, three guys collapsed into the paint to either try to draw charges (that won’t get called in the NBA) or strip down onto his hands. These big, 6-foot-8 ballhandlers often struggle to find lanes in college as it is because the floor is so condensed. It’s easy to dig down into drivers because the distance is shorter to cover to slide out to contest the 3. In Cunningham’s case, that was paired with the fact that exactly zero of his teammates who took at least one 3-pointer per game hit over 33 percent from distance.

I’m not worried. The NBA floor is going to be drastically more open for him almost regardless of where he ends up. Pair that with the fact that he’s morphed into becoming an elite shooter off pull-ups? Who also dominated in clutch time all year? I’m comfortable with Cunningham being my guy at the top of this class. Barring some weird, unforeseen injury concern that pops up in the pre-draft process, he’ll be the No. 1 guy on my board.

Jalen Suggs, G, Gonzaga (No. 2): For listeners of the Game Theory Podcast, it’s been clear for a while that I’ve pushed Suggs up to No. 2 on my board since early March (basically right after I filed my previous big board update that had him at No. 5). Why? We saw most of that on display in the WCC championship game and the Elite Eight win over USC. His ability to pair powerful athleticism and downhill driving/transition ability with high-IQ passing and legitimate shot-making potential is everything that NBA teams are looking for out of lead ballhandlers in today’s game. If Gonzaga is going to win the title — and the Zags have been my clear pick the entire season — it’s not going to be because they have guys such as Corey Kispert and Drew Timme. All due respect to that pairing — and they deserve an awful lot of respect as legitimate All-American choices — but Gonzaga has featured guys like them before. It’s going to be because the Zags have Suggs. Suggs is the difference-maker. He’s the guy who can beat anyone off the bounce when the offense breaks down and create an efficient shot for himself or for a teammate. He’s the guy who can also pair that with lockdown on-ball defense. He’s the kind of guy that Gonzaga’s excellent coaching staff — arguably the best in the country at getting guys substantially better from the time they get to campus to the time they leave — hasn’t needed to develop. He came to campus ready to dominate. And in the biggest moments, he’s done just that.

Evan Mobley, C, USC (No. 3): Mobley led USC on an enormous late push this season that saw them reach the Elite Eight. I recently wrote 3,000 words about him. I don’t know I need to do a full dive beyond that.

Scottie Barnes, F, Florida State (No. 6): This is where the fun starts with this draft. I am nowhere near locked in with Barnes at this spot. I don’t feel great about having him there, and he showcased a big part of the concerns about him in the NCAA Tournament. Simply put, Barnes is everything evaluators are looking for from a frame perspective at 6-foot-8-plus with at least a 7-foot-2 wingspan, fluid athleticism, switchable defensive instincts and good body control. He’s also a high-IQ player who is an excellent passer. However, the big question right now is just how he scores. He’s not a shooter at all and wasn’t particularly adept at getting into the lane and finishing. He took 17 shots in three tournament games for Florida State, not exactly a ton, because he can’t really create an efficient look. For me, the best way to get him open opportunities in the NBA will be using him as a four or five and having him play in short-roll settings as a screener himself, which should allow him to use his length, extension and passing ability to carve up defenses from the foul line and in. This is purely a projection on my part based, not entirely, on production. I like Barnes a lot and love the skills he brings as a complementary NBA player. But he has a lot of room for growth.

Moses Moody, G, Arkansas (No. 7): OK, so this is a tough one. Let’s be blunt: Moody struggled in the NCAA Tournament. He seemed to struggle to get to his spots, and he settled a lot for little midrange opportunities. Eventually, he just decided that he needed to start getting to the foul line, so he started to seek contact. He got into double-figures in all four games, but he shot just 32.7 percent from the field. I’ve mentioned throughout the year that Moody hasn’t been awesome against high-level competition, and this was an example of him struggling again with his efficiency. In 20 games this season against Tier A+B competition according to KenPom, Moody has just a 52.5 true-shooting percentage. That’s not an ideal number. Having said that, I’m still in on Moody for a number of reasons. First, he’s still just 18 years old, and I think we underestimate how hard it can be to be the No. 1 option for a team in an NCAA Tournament setting as an 18-year-old. All of the teams left are loaded with older players for a reason. Second, Moody is still a 6-foot-6 wing with a good frame and a 7-foot wingspan. He’s a prototypical wing option in a league desperate for more of them. A lot of evaluators are not quite as high on Moody as I am, thinking his lack of true burst athletically will end up causing him issues. I get that. But I can’t understand getting outside of the lottery without having him in it right now, given that his overall performance on the season resulted in him very clearly being the top freshman wing in a league littered with them (like Keon Johnson, Jaden Springer, Cam Thomas and B.J. Boston).

Davion Mitchell, G, Baylor (No. 11): This is a spike up the board. But I don’t think there has been a more improved player across the country this season than Mitchell. Honestly, given the intel on him, it makes sense. Baylor’s staff has been universally complimentary of Mitchell for the entire time he’s been there, noting how elite his work ethic is. He just doesn’t stop working to get better. Ultimately, the result is that he’s the best player on the second-best team in America. He’s on his way to winning the national Defensive Player of the Year award, a genuinely elite point-of-attack disruptor who will make an impact as a defender in the NBA from Day 1. But I think his offense has gone underrated. The shooting improvement has gotten plaudits, but I’m still somewhat skeptical of that. What I’m not skeptical of is his athletic burst. He can get into the paint and attack the basket with ease. Now, he’s not an awesome finisher and will need to work on his craft there to reach his ceiling. But Mitchell is the kind of two-way player who is still on an upward trajectory that also fits squarely into an important role in the NBA as a point guard who can defend and play both with or without the ball. This is just such an easy role fit, and I wouldn’t be so quick as to dismiss upside beyond just being a complementary player.

Chris Duarte, G, Oregon (No. 16): Another favorite of mine whom Game Theory Podcast listeners will not be surprised to see this high. Simply put, Duarte does everything that modern NBA teams are looking for from secondary creators. He can attack off the bounce. He can hit 3s on over a 40 percent clip. He can defend multiple positions but is particularly good at defending guards due to his disruptive 6-foot-6 size and quickness. He makes good decisions and takes efficient shots. He was terrific in both NCAA Tournament games that Oregon played, showcasing all of these skills as well as a real flair for the moment when his team needed it. I know Duarte will turn 24 years old before the draft. I do not care. He is one of the country’s elite players already, and his skill set is just ready to step into an NBA situation from Day 1. I will be higher on him than the consensus through this process, in all likelihood.

Franz Wagner, F, Michigan (No. 18): I’ve been in the No. 12 to No. 20 range for the last few months on Wagner, and the NCAA Tournament didn’t really change much for me there. He had some incredible highs and incredible lows. Against Florida State, he was the best player on the court, showcasing his ability to be a disruptive defender both on and off the ball; his ability to pass it and make plays for teammates with high-level reads; and his shooting ability. Then, against UCLA, he played one of the worst games I think I’ve ever seen from a potential lottery pick (1-of-10 from the field, an airball on a potential game-winning 3 and not nearly the defense we’ve come to expect from him). And honestly, this has been the rub with Wagner all year. He’s been great in spurts and has been rough at times. He has moments where he looks like a Robert Covington-like 3-and-D defender who wreaks havoc away from the ball, and then there are other moments where he can’t make a shot and gets scored on a ton when defending on the ball. He’s a difficult player to figure out right now. It really will come down to how his frame develops and how his shooting consistency works. Can he continue to gain strength and weight? And then, can he knock down open 3s consistently? I think I’m a believer in it; otherwise, I wouldn’t have him this high. But I don’t think he’s a no-doubter like some do.

Is this guy a real prospect?

Max Abmas, G, Oral Roberts (No. 72):
The narrative that Abmas burst onto the scene for the first time in the tournament is mistaken. He was the leading scorer in college basketball this year, an unbelievable pull-up shooting threat who has range out to 30 feet off the bounce. Again, listeners of the Game Theory Podcast will be familiar with him, as he’s been on the radar as a potential pop-up guy the whole way. Throughout the year, he’s been the catalyst for one of the most fun offenses to watch in the country. Oral Roberts coach Paul Mills is an offensive genius for the college level, understanding that the further you set ball screens from the basket, the more space you force defenders to cover. Abmas’ shooting led to so many open 3s for both himself and teammates as opposing defenses struggled to learn how to deal with him. And yet, I’m not quite as in on Abmas as many are. He’s still developing as a passer, and at 6-2, 165 pounds, he needs to be terrific in that way. He’s not there yet. Second, he’s maybe the worst defensive player I’ve evaluated at this stage of his career. It is not an exaggeration to say that Trae Young at Oklahoma was better on defense than Abmas is. He was taken advantage of repeatedly in this way in the NCAA Tournament on post-ups and in ball screens. It’s been a problem all year, which is why Oral Roberts had the worst defense among any team heading into the NCAA Tournament. Personally, I think he’s a year of development away from being a legitimate NBA prospect. If he decides to enter this draft off the back of this performance — something I would understand given his profile is higher than it’s ever been — I see him more as a two-way guy than a guarantee guy at this stage. So yes, real prospect due to the hyper elite shooting off the bounce. But has some real flaws that he needs to work on.

Quentin Grimes, G, Houston (No. 48): Genuinely, there is not a story I love more in college basketball this season than Grimes.’ A former top-10 recruit in the country, Grimes was expected to be a one-and-done at Kansas as a lead primary initiator who could handle, pass and score. That wasn’t in the cards. He struggled a lot in his lone season in Lawrence and ended up not being able to turn pro. Instead, he transferred to Houston where he became the key leader for a Final Four team. Grimes has been a monster all year, too, winning the AAC Player of the Year award and earning a few third-team All-American berths in the process. Whereas he was a lead initiator when he was younger, he’s morphed his game into something that works for him now. He’s a terrific two-guard who can attack off closeouts, but more than that is going to absolutely crush you from behind the arc. He’s hit 41.3 percent on nearly 250 3-point attempts this year and looks incredibly confident every time he puts one up. With that type of shooting and the ability to handle it at his size on a secondary level, he’s emerged back onto the scene as a legitimate prospect. It just goes to show that not everyone’s journey is the same. It’s OK if a player struggles early in his career. We shouldn’t write that guy off. Instead, we should be patient and see how his game develops as he works toward hurdling what is often the first speed bump in an elite player’s career.

Johnny Juzang, W, UCLA (No. 60): Juzang is a classic post-freshman-hype, sophomore breakout player. Following a tough freshman season away from home at Kentucky, Juzang ended up deciding to return home to UCLA. He got a waiver this year to play immediately, and what an incredible season it’s been. What he’s done isn’t just resigned to the NCAA Tournament, either, where he’s averaged 21.3 points per game on the way to leading UCLA to the Final Four. In Juzang’s final 16 games, he’s up over 18 points on 45 percent from the field, 36 percent from 3 and 90 percent from the line. So this isn’t just some hot streak. He’s been this way for two months now. What you have here is a wing with legit size and genuine shooting ability, something that NBA teams are all over trying to acquire. I think he’s pretty clearly a real prospect. However, it probably would help him to get one more season under his belt. He still has some room to improve defensively, which he assuredly would under Mick Cronin. Then he could also stand to improve in the way he makes reads as a passer. Having said that, if he leads UCLA to an upset over Gonzaga in the Final Four, all bets are off. His stock would skyrocket, and it might be tough to turn down going pro.

Jaime Jaquez, W, UCLA (No. 65): Jaquez just does a little bit of everything. He’s been on my radar since his AAU days playing with Jalen Green, where he acted as something of a dirty work center that just did all of the little things you look for. He looked like he’d turn into an elite college player who had a shot to become a potential All-American. His freshman season was great at UCLA, and his sophomore season has been even better. He’s averaging 12 points and six rebounds while shooting 49 percent from the field and 40 percent from 3. He also plays tremendous defense both on and off the ball. The big place where he’s taken a leap, though? As a shooter. Jaquez’s footwork is absolutely outstanding. He can carve out little spaces on the block with ease, but that has also translated into him turning into a legitimate pull-up weapon. His feet are so fluid and coordinated that he can maintain his balance while executing some complicated moves off the bounce to get a bit of separation. Again, another real prospect. I see him as more of a 2022 prospect than a 2021 guy, but that’s largely because I almost want to see him back in college for his third year. I think he’d enter his junior year as the favorite to win Pac-12 Player of the Year. But he’d get real looks if he declares in 2021.

DeJon Jarreau, W, Houston (No. 75): Jarreau has been one of the toughest players in this tournament, playing through a hip injury to be the key glue guy for a Houston team that is all sorts of tough and physical. He holds everything together on both ends. He is a really high-level passer who can attack off the bounce, collapse a defense and then make the right read at 6-foot-5. Then on defense, he is really good with quickness and length on the ball. The swing skill for whether or not Jarreau makes it at the next level is whether or not he can shoot it. He’s hit 35.2 percent of his nearly 90 attempts this season, but over the course of his career prior to this, he’d only hit about 25 percent. Jarreau has real NBA flexibility and basketball IQ off the bounce that has tantalized NBA evaluators for the last four years. But I see him mostly as a potential two-way option because there are just too many questions about the jumper.

Buddy Boeheim, W, Syracuse (No. 76): Boeheim closed the season in monstrous fashion, averaging 23 points per game while shooting 46 percent on 10 3-point attempts per game over his final 10 games. He led Syracuse’s offense on a run toward the Sweet 16. The team’s season turned for the Orange after the team started to run its offense through him as he started to get loose. Anytime someone can shoot the ball like Boeheim at 6-foot-6, he’s going to get real looks. And I genuinely believe there is something to the fact that evaluators and the general public alike underestimate him because his last name is Boeheim. If his name was Brian Bartholomew or some other alliterative and he averaged 18 points per game on 38 percent from 3 while leading a team toward the NCAA Tournament, that guy at least makes the All-ACC team, right? It’s kind of crazy that Boeheim didn’t at least get honored by the league. It’s the same deal with evaluators. I’ll be taking Boeheim seriously at this point. He needs to prove he can stay in front of people defensively to have a place in the league, but his work ethic is reputed to be very strong. He’s a two-way guy right now, in my view.

Jason Preston, G, Ohio (No. 85): I really want to buy into the Preston story. Every source you talk to about him lets you know that he’s an absolutely elite-level kid with high-level work ethic and character. But I just really struggle to see how this game is going to work at the next level. He’s not an elite shooter, and he’s a very below-average athlete for guard standards. He struggles to get by everyone and doesn’t have a particularly strong handle at this stage. Mostly, he’s getting by on an unbelievable feel for the game and change of pace. I have Preston ranked, and have throughout the season, because he’s one of the five smartest players in this class on the court. His passing acumen is top notch, he has a great feel for where the ball is going to come off the glass when rebounding and he has a great sense of when and where his teammates want the ball. I want it to work. I’ll be rooting for him, and I think it’s a fascinating test case of just how far feel for the game can take a kid. I’m just not quite there because I don’t know how he collapses the defense and forces defenders to help at the NBA level.

Matthew Mayer, W, Baylor (No. 87): I’m not quite as all-aboard the Mayer hype train as some are. Anytime it gets brought up that “he might be Baylor’s best NBA prospect,” I find it pretty laughable. Davion Mitchell exists, is the best player on the team, has proven himself as the best player on the court in so many different scenarios and is a tailor-made fit in today’s NBA. None of this should dismiss Mayer as someone worth tracking long-term, though. He has really interesting skills. Ultimately, he’s a flash player right now. He’s an awesome shot-maker at times and has an NBA-style approach to the game. He can make difficult, high-degree-of-difficulty shots. And at 6-foot-9, he is a good shooter who hits 40 percent from 3 (although that number drops down to about 36 percent against Tier A+B competition, per KenPom). But there’s just not nearly enough consistency there right now at the college level. In his last seven games, Mayer has scored 3, 3, 5, 8, 6 and 7 points. He also has a 17-point outburst in that stretch, and it’s that outburst (along with the ones late in the Big 12 season for 18 and 19 points) that gets people excited. I get that Mayer plays a diminished role for this team and doesn’t always get his chances, but he’s playing that role for a reason. I’m interested in watching his progression long-term, and I think his upside is real. Having said that, I wouldn’t have Mayer as a two-way priority until we know whether or not he can consistently get his own offense at a reasonable level. I don’t think we’re going to find that out until next year. I’d say he should go back to Baylor and potentially earn his way into being the No. 1 option.
 
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