***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

l knicks fresh knick l said:
im gonna play 25$ on my team tonight. I love my seahawks man but I can't call it. The one thing I know we have going for us is

1) we're home
2) we can't lose this game
3) we were supposed to beat the cards a few weeks ago , if it wasn't for a bad holding call against Metcalf
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yeah Seattle defense is the worst in the league but Arizona’s isn’t much better. It’ll be a shootout. I gotta lean with the Hawks at home.
 
Value in Cards +3. Of course they beat 'Hawks in OT on SNF. Pocket Ks creative and mixes things up offensively. Kyler and "Nuk" gonna fry. Seattle's secondary one of the worst in the league. Arizona's D still not remotely trustworthy and Seahawks probably win a close game but again, value. Carson out, Lockett playing through knee sprain. PP locking up D.K.
 
champcruthik said:
Value in Cards +3. Of course they beat 'Hawks in OT on SNF. Pocket Ks creative and mixes things up offensively. Kyler and "Nuk" gonna fry. Seattle's secondary one of the worst in the league. Arizona's D still not remotely trustworthy and Seahawks probably win a close game but again, value. Carson out, Lockett playing through knee sprain. PP locking up D.K.
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I know you love pocket K's -- and you got me really believing for a minute a while back -- but you probably need to downgrade your rating on him. He's burned me many times and it's because of that optimism. He's really not all that creative and has a habit of getting stuck in a mindset. He leans more Mike Leach than he does Kyle Shanahan....who holistically understands the game on a different level. Kliff has strictly seen a lot of football at its new precipice, but his overall coaching ability is marginal and adaptability is confined...my opinion.
 
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651akathepaul said:
I know you love pocket K's -- and you got me really believing for a minute a while back -- but you probably need to downgrade your rating on him. He's burned me many times and it's because of that optimism. He's really not all that creative and has a habit of getting stuck in a mindset. He leans more Mike Leach than he does Kyle Shanahan....who holistically understands the game on a different level. He's strictly seen a lot of football at its new precipice, but his overall coaching ability is marginal and adaptability is confined...my opinion.
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Been my guy since Houston and A&M but I'm heated, man. Cards showed they're not ready and blew their chance at the division tonight. Can't win if Hyde out-rushes the Drake/Edmonds combo. Can't let scheme or Flowers take "Nuk" out the game. He should be seeing double-digit targets every single game. I noticed Seattle shading Adams near Hopkins to help Tre late in the game. Kyler missed DeAndre for a potential big play earlier. Murray was on the run, moving to his left but still a miss on the QB. His shoulder probably not right, but nobody is fully healthy at this point of the season.

Dre penalty hurt a lot. With the Lockett stop, you either force Pete into FG or fourth-down attempt. Obviously the safety too, holding penalty looked outside the end zone. The silver lining defensively is Arizona's first-round pick. Simmons is playing more and looking good while doing so. Solid core with Isaiah, Chandler Jones (year left on his contract) and Budda. Reddick saved his career this year also.

FTR, I wouldn't take Pocket Ks over Shanny. To simplify, when Cards or any NFL team for that matter can't run the ball, it limits the playbook (PA) so much. Hard to execute even when you have stars like Kyler and "Nuk." I had no problem with Kliff's challenge. Arizona was gonna call a TO anyway to stop clock on Hyde run/fumble.
 
Put a couple units down on Philadelphia +4.5 over Seattle for MNF after Thanksgiving weekend...Love the value right now, but gives me time to bet out of it if new info or results sway me, but I like that spot & those points for a home dog.
 
I went with my seahawks and the under for the thursday night game. I Cashed out!!!! Had me sweating on that last 2 plays tho. whats the plays for tomorrow?

Im leaning colts, chiefs and philly
 
How y’all feeling about this USC/Utah game?
I like Utah, but they lost 9 starters on defense so I’m hesitant.
 
l knicks fresh knick l said:
I went with my seahawks and the under for the thursday night game. I Cashed out!!!! Had me sweating on that last 2 plays tho. whats the plays for tomorrow?

Im leaning colts, chiefs and philly
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I liked Indy and Philly earlier in the week, but not anymore. I really like KC, but no line for a few days...they should win by double digits.

I like WFT, Miami and potentially KC and Minnesota.

D StaXX said:
How y’all feeling about this USC/Utah game?
I like Utah, but they lost 9 starters on defense so I’m hesitant.
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I'm going USC on a whim. Toss up though given no info on the Utes.
 
Been a rough season but hit last week on a pretty good one.

But I only put $10 on it FML!

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Never doin that AGAIN!

My plays for the weekend....

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With 651akathepaul 651akathepaul heavy on KC -7.5. Saw it at -6.5 & -7.0 earlier in the week but don't think it even matters, Chiefs by double digits. KC vividly remembers Raiders giving them their only L six weeks ago. Prime-time SNF, Mahomes finna show out. First key to limit Jacobs, Gruden likes to feed him early and often. I might give Waller all the underneath stuff in a conscious effort to negate big plays down the field to Ruggs and Agholor. LT Kolton Miller playing banged up. Vegas' entire D was on COVID watch, concern about how much time they've had to scheme for Pat. Expecting lack of cohesion and miscommunication leading to at least one major Tyreek or Hardman score.

To a lesser degree, also like playing Pats -2.5 (on nice run, feed Harris & Gilmore byke), Dolphins -4 (even with Lock starting), Cowboys +7 (JJETS probably cooks Dallas' secondary but seeing 'surprise' performance from Zeke), Rams +4 (Donald and co. finna pressure Brady into a nightmare evening).

Trickiest Week 11 play:
Colts -1.5 to -2.0. Matchup of strengths. Indy's D is for real against one of the greatest QBs in the history of the game. Rodgers gets boost with Davante cleared and if Lazard can actually go. Some question whether Jaire and King can play. Public inclined to take GB as 2-point 'dogs. But is it a trap? Colts likely bottle up Jones on the ground. Rivers needs to just manage the game and limit his mistakes, which haunted him in SD.
 
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