***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

651akathepaul said:
I hate being on the public side and as much as I think Gruden is a great coach, I can't fade KC here.

I also feel like tomorrow night plays into it for the books somehow too.
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Man.. this is a great spot for KC. They'll probably pull it out.
I just couldn't do it with everyone on them.
I took Raiders 1H TT over 10.5 as well.
Mad at myself cause I liked 1st q over 10.5 and 1H over 28.
 
The intentional safety at the end of the Chargers and Jets game cost me a $700 parlay win. I had them for -6.5. I hedged it at half on the Jets to cover +8.5 to avoid any ****ery and it still happened. Would of won both bets.

NEVER EVER in my life have I seen a team so scared of their punt team they take an intentional safety just to kick off again. I mean it worked out for them but I was just in shock the entire time.
Screenshot_20201122-161444.jpg
 
second2nonee said:
glad you hit, but man you gotta stop teasing across 0 :lol:

a good reference when you tease though, is to tease through 2 key numbers. i.e. 6 pt tease on a 2.5 pt dog -> you cross the key numbers of 3 and 7
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100%, man. i was def being too conservative :lol:
 
DeadsetAce said:
my buddy was just saying the same thing
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651akathepaul said:
I was leaning under. Why the over?
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I'm probably putting too much faith in Brady & Goff, but Brady has gotten smoked in every primetime game this year. I'm looking for him to turn that around tonight. I think the Bucs can find some good match ups against this Rams secondary and work the quick game to avoid that pass rush and put up points. Looking for AB and Brady to finally connect.

On the flip side, I don't buy the Bucs secondary at all. I'm looking for a lot of Goff play action to hit over the top, and hoping we can get lucky with a defensive TD in there somewhere.

I could also see the under hitting and was debating back and forth between the two, but I'll throw a unit on the over. May try to hedge with some live betting.
 
I was thinking under because both have injury issues up front on offense. Goff is a statue and terrible under pressure, but now without his LT. Marpet is still out for TB and that means a backup vs Donald. I trust Brady under pressure more than Goff, but not when its straight up the middle and right in his face. The Rams also have a great corner and another really good one to neutralize some of that attack.. TBs offense has laid duds against good defenses. I hate playing unders though.
 
651akathepaul said:
I was thinking under because both have injury issues up front on offense. Goff is a statue and terrible under pressure, but now without his LT. Marpet is still out for TB and that means a backup vs Donald. I trust Brady under pressure more than Goff, but not when its straight up the middle and right in his face. The Rams also have a great corner and another really good one to neutralize some of that attack.. TBs offense has laid duds against good defenses. I hate playing unders though.
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Same, but damnit you convinced me. I'm on the under. Let's get it!
 
Pretty much went as expected. Knew they'd work the quick stuff, but thought for sure we'd get a defensive TD in there.
 
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