OFFICIAL 2015 FANTASY FOOTBALL THREAD

Discussion in 'Sports & Training' started by stick, Jun 30, 2015.

  1. stick

    stick

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    Fantasy season is right around the corner, time to start researching and mock-drafting. Let's use this thread to discuss everything fantasy related- rankings, players, trades, etc. I'll drop some helpful links below.

    Rotoworld - My go-to site. Great articles and news blurbs for every player.
    FantasyPros - Rankings, ADP, cheat sheets, research articles, news blurbs.
    FFToolbox - Rankings, ADP, cheat sheets.
    Fantasy Football Calculator - Mock drafts for a bunch of different league formats. My preferred site for mock drafting.
    ESPN Fantasy Football
    Yahoo Fantasy Football
     
    Last edited: Jun 30, 2015
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  2. johnnyredstorm

    johnnyredstorm

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    I've been doing some way too early mock drafts. Decided to write up this article:

    http://g42sports.com/fantasy-football-mock-draft/

    Cliffs: Really wanna avoid anyone on the Broncos this year. I like Julius Thomas if there's value late as a backup to Greg Olsen. Really think Thomas does well since young QBs like feeding their TE usually. Wanna avoid DeMarco and every Eagles RB, as well as avoiding Patriots and Panthers RBs. Think Duke Johnson can be a big sleeper if he's there last few rounds.

    Ideal team for me would be a combo of:

    Stafford/Bridgewater/Tannenhill
    Megatron/Alshon/AJ Green/ODB/Dez
    Mike Evans/Kelvin Benjamin/Jordy/Edelman/TY
    Golden Tate/Cooper/Landry/Hopkins/Cruz/Andre Johnson
    Lacy/Lynch/Forte
    Gordon/Hill/Charles (if I could get 3 of these 6 backs I'll be ecstatic)

    Think CJ Spiller could be a steal. Avoiding Forsett, Rashad Jennings, Hyde, Ellington, Gore.

    Wanna grab Jets defense if possible toward the end of the draft.

    It’s way too early to have a fantasy football mock draft that’s concrete, but it’s better to get one’s feet wet early on, troubleshoot, and figure out the best primer for success.

    This will be based on a PPR league and what one should look for when drafting a potential championship winner. The first thing one should want when drafting a wide receiver is a big time target monster—someone who will consistently see the ball at least eight times a week and is capable of making plays. Ideally, every winning team has a Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant, Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, Jordy Nelson, A.J. Green, Odell Beckham Jr., Mike Evans, type of player who can be counted on to contribute at least seven points each week. One’s second wide receiver should be a big redzone target.

    So ideally, for one’s two wide receivers, one’s best bet is drafting a combination of: Megatron, Bryant, Brown, Jones, Nelson, Green, ODB, Evans, Kelvin Benjamin, Alshon Jeffrey, Randall Cobb, TY Hilton and Julian Edelman.

    If you’re the type of person that prefers to run three wide outs—using your flex or that’s just the way your league is situated—the next crop of guys you want to target are your low risk, blue collar receivers with either explosive potential or a guaranteed workload—like Golden Tate, Amari Cooper, Brandin Cooks, Jarvis Landry, DeAndre Hopkins, Brandon Marshall, Victor Cruz, Andre Johnson, Desean Jackson and Vincent Jackson. Sammy Watkins is an intriguing player to consider, but the combination of no quarterback and Rex Ryan leave a lot to be desired.

    There are a couple of people who haven’t been mention that you’re wondering why they’re left out: Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Why haven’t they been mentioned? This is the year you err caution and stay away from Peyton Manning.

    Although Manning is one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time, he finished the second half of last season in a terrible fashion. He was injured, ineffective and it looked like his age finally caught up to him. In order to be safe, stay away from him and his team. Let someone else waste a high draft pick expecting vintage Manning, and if it works out, great, good for them, but if it doesn’t, you’re not affected and you still have a chance to win your league.

    That means avoid running backs from the Denver Broncos. C.J. Anderson has a frothy ADP this year that you should stay away from. Was last season an aberration? Maybe, maybe not, but fact of the matter is, there’s safer bets out there.

    For a running back I look for a combo of two things: a workhorse and a PPR machine. Ideal candidates who fit this mold are Marshawn Lynch and Matt Forte. Their age is a little worrisome, but if you miss out on Eddie Lacy, those are decent consolation prizes. RB’s to avoid are those who may get vultured or play for Chip Kelly. Last season Kelly cost me a championship. In the semi-finals, I trailed by two points with LeSean McCoy. The Eagles had four goal-line chances and Shady was vultured every time, ruining my season and what would’ve been a guaranteed championship.

    Although he had a tremendous year last season, avoid DeMarco Murray. The combination of workload, losing the Dallas Cowboys offensive line and Chip Kelly’s nonsense is the trifecta of a wasted draft pick. Target LeVeon Bell, Jeremy Hill, Melvin Gordon, Lacy, Jamal Charles, Forte, Lynch, and if you’re a risk taker who believes in a Rex Ryan offense for some weird reason, McCoy.

    RB’s to avoid are not limited to but include: Alfred Morris, every Broncos and Eagles RB, Arian Foster, Justin Forsett, Rashad Jennings, any New England Patriots RB, any Carolina Panthers RB, Andre Ellington, Carlos Hyde and Frank Gore. Each of those players either has injury risks, questionable workloads or are just ADP traps.

    The biggest trap people fall into on draft day is the early selection of a QB. Taking a QB before you have secured two RB’s, two WR’s and a TE is the best way to underperform and find yourself scrambling to fill your needs. Yes the NFL is a quarterback league, but when it comes to fantasy purposes, you can get a very good QB in the mid to late rounds—your Matt Ryan, Matthew Stafford, Teddy Bridgewater, Ryan Tannenhill types who are good enough to get you 18 plus points per week without putting you in the position to have glaring holes elsewhere.

    Every team wants Rob Gronkowski at TE but unless you’re willing to grab him in the first three rounds, you’re not getting him, so a solid alternative is Greg Olsen. Cam Newton will feed Olsen plenty this year, like he always does, and he’s the best second tier TE available when it comes to ADP value. One TE who has become undervalued and potentially a steal because of the team he signed with is Julius Thomas. If you can get him in the scrap heap, you do it without hesitating. Yes Thomas is now playing with Blake Bortles, but young QB’s who struggle love feeding their TE. I watched Mark Sanchez do it for years with Dustin Keller. Thomas isn’t losing value by leaving Denver, he’s gaining it with the decreased ADP.

    Avoid Kyle Rudolph, Jimmy Graham, Jordan Reed and Zach Ertz. Graham is obviously worth picking, but there are usage questions in play. The others, they get hurt too often or aren’t featured enough to be worthwhile.

    Kicker and Defense should be the least of your concerns. Don’t take them until you’ve built up your bench with best players available for trade purposes. After you have a few guys who are sleepers and trade chips, you can go after a kicker and defense. I personally, want a kicker who nails 50 yards like Greg Zuerlein and I’m very big on the New York Jets defense this year under Todd Bowles. There’s good ADP with the Jets and they can score a touchdown per game.

    There’s a few sleepers worth eying: Ameer Abdullah, Nelson Agholor, Jaylen Strong, Duke Johnson and Davante Adams. Stay away from every other Cleveland Browns RB, Duke is taking their job.

    Knowing all of this, you’re in a position to have a great season and be the last man standing. Avoid the value traps, flashy names past their prime and make the best selections possible per your metrics. There’s no need to reach for a quarterback ever, and there’s even less of a reason to trust Peyton Manning blindly this season after the way he finished last year.
     
    Last edited: Jun 30, 2015
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  3. nowitness41dirk

    nowitness41dirk

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    Here's something I've thought about all offseason and am looking for some verification...

    Keep: Demarco Murray at Round 2 or Odell at Round 9? PPR league

    Been leaning Odell.
     
    Last edited: Jun 30, 2015
  4. stick

    stick

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    ^^ Good read. I agree with everything you said. I'm loving mid-tier QBs this year as well. I commish a 2-QB league with my friends and I think I'm gonna shy away from grabbing an elite guy in the first round and instead target those guys.

    One thing I semi-disagree with is avoiding Forsett. Expectations should definitely be tempered since he was pretty much +800 over his career average for yards/season last year. But I think he's a good PPR pick now that he has Trestman calling the plays.


    ODB no doubt. You can re-draft Murray in the 2nd round. But you won't sniff Odell anywhere near the 9th :lol:.
     
    Last edited: Jun 30, 2015
  5. johnnyredstorm

    johnnyredstorm

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    Yeah ODB for sure. Losing a 9th rounder, that's great value.
     
  6. macbk

    macbk

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    IDC if it's rash, depending on how my draft is going, I will be looking to take the Jets D earlier than the norm.

    My target QB is definitely Luck.
     
    Last edited: Jun 30, 2015
  7. johnnyredstorm

    johnnyredstorm

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    Jets D is gonna be legit this year. I could see them almost scoring a TD a game.
     
  8. lb510

    lb510

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    *Bookmarked* :smokin
     
  9. stick

    stick

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    I'm normally a D/ST streamer, but I play in a league where add/drops are $5 each so it's not worth it there. Last year I grabbed the Bills late and they payed huge dividends. I'm definitely with you guys on the Jets this year as well.

    Gonna have to spend a 2nd round pick on Luck. Not me. RB and WR corps will suffer as a result. I'd rather grab Ryan/Romo/Stafford/Tannehill in the 7th-10th.
     
    Last edited: Jul 1, 2015
  10. johnnyredstorm

    johnnyredstorm

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    Same. I did a mock taking A-Rod second and was disgusted with the team I had. Just couldn't piece together the team as well as I would've liked to rationalize it.

    Give me 2 WR's, 2 RB's and a TE before I grab a QB. I'm even inclined to sure up my flex and another player before going QB. I'm big on Teddy Football this year for his ADP.
     
  11. anderson

    anderson

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    edit
     
    Last edited: Jul 1, 2015
  12. soleinrevolt

    soleinrevolt

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    p4l this is gonna be good
     
  13. timelessflight

    timelessflight

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    Fantasy Rundown is another good site. Posts links of articles from different websites. It's updated each day.

    As far as fantasy goes, I haven't done much research at all. Typically I'm on it early, but now I've been kinda lazy with the research. My draft isn't till August though so I still got plenty of time to do some research and catch up on player news.
     
  14. stick

    stick

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    ^ My drafts are usually all right around Labor Day weekend. It's never too early to start researching :lol:.
     
  15. highriser07

    highriser07

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    Good to see this thread back :pimp: In my keeper league I can keep one guy so I've decided between Jeremy Hill or CJ Anderson. Who would you guys take?
     
  16. stick

    stick

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    What are the stipulations? Based just off of player vs. player I'd go with Hill. I'm keeping him in my keeper league. I lose a 13th round pick :pimp:.
     
  17. johnnyredstorm

    johnnyredstorm

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    Thoughts on TJ Yeldon? I wanna target him as my rb3 behind Lacy and Gordon ideally. Would be a potential flex option in a ppr league.
     
  18. 7th Chamber

    7th Chamber

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    Expanding on this, are any of the rookie RBs worth picking up as RB2 or RB3 or FLEX options: Melvin Gordon, TJ Yeldon, Todd Gurley, Tevin Coleman.
     
    Last edited: Jul 6, 2015
  19. johnnyredstorm

    johnnyredstorm

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    I've been targeting Gordon as my rb2.
     
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  20. 7th Chamber

    7th Chamber

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    I've been eyeing him as well. Is this assuming you'd be going RB-RB with your first two picks in a snake draft? :nerd: