***Official Political Discussion Thread***

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For someone like Manchin, a Senator from a deep red State without a large BIPOC population, maybe supporting an end of the filibuster and subsequently passing a new voting rights act will harm his own political prospects. But I wish he’d consider two things:

1.) He’s not up for reelection until 2024. Even if the median voter in WV doesn’t want a him to end the filibuster or vote for a new VRA, plenty of things can change before 2024 and his votes in 2021 are old news, politically.

2.) maybe ending the filibuster and passing the VRA will sink his re-election chances. Then fall on your sword for your party. Your party will be in such a stronger position, overall, with a VRA. You’d be trading your Democratic seat in exchange for Democrats picking up 6-10 seats by 2026.

I think manchin just legitimately believes a the BS about Senate being a cooling saucer of democracy blah blah blah,

He's old so I can understand why nostalgia would **** with his mind like that.

Sinema is the one that makes no sense. Ultimately I have to think they are persuadable, you gotta hope that Republican over reach snaps them out of it.
 
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Explaining Trump's Latino gains
The report did not find a Latino shift to Republicans and Trump; about two-thirds of the state's Hispanics continue to support Democrats.

"Many have interpreted this as 'Latinos voted for Trump,' but it's more accurate to say, 'Latinos who were already Republicans turned out more than Latino Democrats,'" said the report, assembled by Hudson Cavanaugh, the state party's director of data science.

Support for Trump increased significantly in mostly rural, majority Latino counties, accounting for an estimated 17,000 net votes, according to the report.

Latinos moved to Trump in the Rio Grande Valley and in some parts of the Texas Panhandle, although they also supported Democratic candidates lower on the ballot.

Republicans were able to make headway in the conservative state with rhetoric blasting the Democrats' progressive wing on police reform — reduced to "defunding the police" — and on moving away from fossil fuels, which the GOP emphasized could affect jobs in Texas.

Turnout was lower among Latinos than among other groups but higher than expected.

The Biden campaign was criticized for taking too long to ramp up its outreach to Latinos and for not making large investments in Texas, which hasn't backed a Democratic presidential candidate since 1976.

Democrats concluded that the party needs to develop better outreach and relationships in those rural counties.

The Democratic Party exceeded its statewide registration goal, turning out 13 million votes; it also increased its vote total by 1.2 million — the highest growth in Democratic vote share since 2012. It came within about 23,000 votes of flipping the state House.

But Democrats "did not anticipate this surge of Trump voters that we had not seen before," Hinojosa said.

"Republicans really thought they were going to lose, and Trumpers thought they might lose, and so they just went out and voted like they had never voted before," he said. "And because they were so afraid of losing, they pumped $30 million in the last 30 days into the campaign in Texas."
 
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