***Official Political Discussion Thread***

Let's hope this actually happens.



Assuming that the US is able to keep Israel outside of Rafah if the deal goes through, there still isn't a scenario in which Hamas remains in power, unless they renounce violence. Renouncing violence means that other factions within Gaza/Hamas may break off from the organization and continue the fight, which would give Israel a legitimate pretext to go in and dislodge them. If a break up within Hamas happens, it also means that its political branch will no longer be welcome there.

That is to say, there isn't going to be a permanent ceasefire and/or an end to the Israeli blockade of Gazan waters without a real involvement from an international peacekeeping force. And there isn't going to be a long-term ceasefire unless the US (or that peacekeeping force) commits to enforce the removal of illegal settlements from the West Bank. And for all of that to even be realistic, Bibi and his right-wing coalition need to be removed from government.
 
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