- May 22, 2008
- 6,589
- 2,164
Below is the rationale behind the formula. Seems as if Lebron is a lock, and of course there is no need to even guess on Kobe. Ray Allen will get in as well, maybe not a first ballot, but he's getting in.
HALL OF FAME PROBABILITY POST...VOL. NBA ACTIVE PLAYERS
- Thread in 'Sports & Training' Thread starter Started by elderwatsondiggs,
- Start date
- May 22, 2008
- 6,589
- 2,164
Below is the rationale behind the formula. Seems as if Lebron is a lock, and of course there is no need to even guess on Kobe. Ray Allen will get in as well, maybe not a first ballot, but he's getting in.
- May 22, 2008
- 6,589
- 2,164
26-50 ranked on probability of getting into the HOF as far as active players.
| 26. | Antawn Jamison | 0.0861 |
| 27. | Carlos Boozer | 0.0842 |
| 28. | Baron Davis | 0.0828 |
| 29. | Manu Ginobili | 0.0743 |
| 30. | Richard Hamilton | 0.0718 |
| 31. | Joe Johnson | 0.0643 |
| 32. | Lamar Odom | 0.0599 |
| 33. | Jermaine O'Neal | 0.0488 |
| 34. | Rasheed Wallace | 0.0444 |
| 35. | Derek Fisher | 0.0310 |
| 36. | Zach Randolph | 0.0239 |
| 37. | Caron Butler | 0.0234 |
| 38. | Michael Redd | 0.0226 |
| 39. | Michael Finley | 0.0216 |
| 40. | Ron Artest | 0.0196 |
| 41. | Jerry Stackhouse | 0.0194 |
| 42. | Andre Miller | 0.0167 |
| 43. | Peja Stojakovic | 0.0160 |
| 44. | David West | 0.0156 |
| 45. | Mike Bibby | 0.0143 |
| 46. | Jason Richardson | 0.0124 |
| 47. | Andre Iguodala | 0.0113 |
| 48. | Ben Wallace | 0.0093 |
| 49. | Mo Williams | 0.0089 |
| 50. | Rashard Lewis | 0.0087 |
- May 22, 2008
- 6,589
- 2,164
26-50 ranked on probability of getting into the HOF as far as active players.
| 26. | Antawn Jamison | 0.0861 |
| 27. | Carlos Boozer | 0.0842 |
| 28. | Baron Davis | 0.0828 |
| 29. | Manu Ginobili | 0.0743 |
| 30. | Richard Hamilton | 0.0718 |
| 31. | Joe Johnson | 0.0643 |
| 32. | Lamar Odom | 0.0599 |
| 33. | Jermaine O'Neal | 0.0488 |
| 34. | Rasheed Wallace | 0.0444 |
| 35. | Derek Fisher | 0.0310 |
| 36. | Zach Randolph | 0.0239 |
| 37. | Caron Butler | 0.0234 |
| 38. | Michael Redd | 0.0226 |
| 39. | Michael Finley | 0.0216 |
| 40. | Ron Artest | 0.0196 |
| 41. | Jerry Stackhouse | 0.0194 |
| 42. | Andre Miller | 0.0167 |
| 43. | Peja Stojakovic | 0.0160 |
| 44. | David West | 0.0156 |
| 45. | Mike Bibby | 0.0143 |
| 46. | Jason Richardson | 0.0124 |
| 47. | Andre Iguodala | 0.0113 |
| 48. | Ben Wallace | 0.0093 |
| 49. | Mo Williams | 0.0089 |
| 50. | Rashard Lewis | 0.0087 |
do be doo
Banned
- Mar 13, 2009
- 6,589
- 547
Big three in the top 30.
But Parker has a better chance to get in before MANU???
But Parker has a better chance to get in before MANU???
Spoiler [+]
do be doo
Banned
- Mar 13, 2009
- 6,589
- 547
Big three in the top 30.
But Parker has a better chance to get in before MANU???
But Parker has a better chance to get in before MANU???
Spoiler [+]
- Jan 1, 2004
- 496
- 10
I think Steve Nash is way more probable.
T-Mac is way less probable.
T-Mac is way less probable.
- Jan 1, 2004
- 496
- 10
I think Steve Nash is way more probable.
T-Mac is way less probable.
T-Mac is way less probable.
- Jul 13, 2004
- 3,500
- 463
Tmac is on there?
There is no God.
There is no God.
- Jul 13, 2004
- 3,500
- 463
Tmac is on there?
There is no God.
There is no God.
therealmccoy12
Banned
- Dec 1, 2009
- 2,216
- 11
how is kobe not on shaqs level???? how on earth is he a .9999....why the deduction???? ....1.0000???
therealmccoy12
Banned
- Dec 1, 2009
- 2,216
- 11
how is kobe not on shaqs level???? how on earth is he a .9999....why the deduction???? ....1.0000???
- Jan 9, 2007
- 2,631
- 11
Dwight Howard has a much better chance of getting in than Tracy McGrady, but then the model doesn't accout for injuries or knowing when a player is done.
I wonder why Carmelo ranks so low.
I wonder why Carmelo ranks so low.
- Jan 9, 2007
- 2,631
- 11
Dwight Howard has a much better chance of getting in than Tracy McGrady, but then the model doesn't accout for injuries or knowing when a player is done.
I wonder why Carmelo ranks so low.
I wonder why Carmelo ranks so low.
- May 4, 2005
- 12,910
- 843
Originally Posted by Do Be Doo
Big three in the top3017.
- May 4, 2005
- 12,910
- 843
Originally Posted by Do Be Doo
Big three in the top3017.
- Apr 22, 2010
- 4,837
- 215
Come one, seriously. Mo Williams is the top 50? Really?
- Apr 22, 2010
- 4,837
- 215
Come one, seriously. Mo Williams is the top 50? Really?
- Jan 30, 2009
- 150
- 10
its a 'probability' list relax nt lol
- Jan 30, 2009
- 150
- 10
its a 'probability' list relax nt lol
- Jul 19, 2002
- 4,446
- 10
Steve Nash at 21? Lower than Gilbert Arenas? Hell, Amare is ahead of him...guess who was feeding Amare for all those points
- Jul 19, 2002
- 4,446
- 10
Steve Nash at 21? Lower than Gilbert Arenas? Hell, Amare is ahead of him...guess who was feeding Amare for all those points
- May 22, 2008
- 6,589
- 2,164
Remember guys this is a probability list. After 80% it gets kinda hairy. You can pretty much count on the 90% and above to get in though.
- May 22, 2008
- 6,589
- 2,164
Remember guys this is a probability list. After 80% it gets kinda hairy. You can pretty much count on the 90% and above to get in though.
- Nov 25, 2003
- 1,232
- 37
I would say the odds are more of the percentage of votes they'll likely get at this point. There will be people that won't vote for Kobe because of his past as it still rubs people the wrong way. But having said that, I'm sure they're will be voters that won't vote for Shaq for whatever reason as well, so he shouldn't really be ba 1.0000 lock even though both will obviously be first ballot HOF'ers. And I think this vote is kinda skewed because it's not taking college careers in to account because I think Grant Hill, Mike Bibby, Rips college years were impressive enough to establish them as "basketball" HOF'ers.
