[h2]Top 25 Intel: No. 11 Oregon[/h2] [h3]Ducks coach thinks offense, D-line will mask secondary shortcomings[/h3]
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By Chris Sprow
ESPN Insider
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Donald Miralle/Getty ImagesBlount force: With a 1,000-yard rusher back, the Ducks' offense should be scary once more.
If you talk to Chip Kelly, the new head coach at Oregon, you never worry that perhaps you accidentally called Lou Holtz instead. It's the differencebetween the two in salesmanship and optimism. Give Holtz the Taj Mahal and he'd complain about the cleaning bill. Give Kelly a burning outhouse andhe'd call it warm and cozy.
Oregon's football team this year is somewhere between those extremes. It could be oversold or undersold, depending on what -- or whom -- you want tobelieve. Kelly, for one, believes in the positive.
"I think of a case where before last season a reporter said, 'Well, there's no way they can do what they did in his first season, and average467 yards a game."' The team had lost
Dennis Dixon and
Jonathan Stewart from his offense in Eugene, Kelly says. "And after last season, Isaid, 'Yeah, you're right, we didn't. We averaged 485 yards per game.'"
In doing so, during his second year as offensive coordinator under longtime coach Mike Bellotti, Oregon led the Pac-10 in offense, and after running intoserious injury issues with their quarterbacks -- they were pulling people out of the student section to play in a painfully close loss to Boise State that mayhave kept them out of the BCS mix -- Kelly made his offense into the best rushing team in the country.
Really.
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With apologies to Navy (which averaged 290 yards per game), last year Oregon rushed for just 10 fewer yards a game at 280, but in 130 fewer carries. Onlyproblem was, Oregon was so good at running the ball out of Kelly's interpretation of the shotgun spread that the defense didn't get much rest. Oregonled the nation in runs of over 10 yards, with 128, a number that led the Pac-10 by 50. They were also third in the country with 37 runs of 20-plus yards.
[h4]Ducks' rushing attack[/h4]
Oregon's rushing game has steadily improved since 2004.
| | | | | |
| National rushing rank | 2nd | 6th | 14th | 79th | 55th |
| Yds/G | 280.1 | 254.6 | 183.2 | 135.4 | 159.4 |
| Yds/Att | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Rushes 10+ Yds | 128 | 118 | 78 | 45 | 58 |
| TDs | 47 | 32 | 26 | 16 | 12 |
[th=""]
[/th] [th=""]2008[/th] [th=""]2007[/th] [th=""]2006[/th] [th=""]2005[/th] [th=""]2004[/th]
Of course, that left the defense on the field for roughly 35 minutes a game, most in the league. Kelly doesn't care.
"There's only two stats that mean anything to me," he says, "scoring offense and scoring defense. I don't get paid on anything elseother than the fact that we score 42 points a game and give up less."
This is what you'd expect to hear from an offensive coordinator -- and Kelly has been a revelation in that role for Oregon, shattering school records ineach of his two years since migrating west from New Hampshire. But he's the head coach now. So he is forced to address both sides of the issue.
And this year, there are two sides to it all.
Start on offense. The Ducks are loaded at skill positions, as they return a 1,000-yard rusher in
LeGarrette Blount and, more important, a quarterback in
Jeremiah Masoli who can do it all. Kelly says Masoli was forced to learn on the job lastyear after being injured in the spring and is just now mastering things. It also means that a quarterback who managed to run for over 700 yards is ready toaugment an already awesome running game with a deft passing attack.
"He's the real deal," Kelly says. "You're talking about a guy who did all his learning on the job, made his first-ever start in theColiseum [at USC], but every week he got better 'til the end of the year, and he's the MVP of the Holiday Bowl."
Because of that, expect the Ducks to achieve better balance … if they want it.
"There might be a certain balance when we get comfortable. But it just depends on who you're playing," Kelly says. "If they insist ontaking something away, the key is just to be able to get 'em elsewhere."
Skill positions? Check. Oregon has a brilliant tight end in
Ed Dickson -- maybethe best in the country, according to Kelly -- and speed to burn out wide. But again, there's always a flip side.
The Ducks lost three offensive linemen who should be playing on Sundays this fall. In particular, center
Max Unger really brought things together. So even an optimist like Kelly must admit,"That's our biggest question: How good can we be up front, and how quickly can we come together there?"
But after the way his offense responded after losing two All-Americans after the 2007 season, he's confident.
Then there are the two sides to the defense.
Kelly says a unit that gave up 28 points a game, good for seventh in the Pac-10, and ceded 389 yards, good for eighth, is going to be much better.
But it returns just five starters. (The Oregon team returns just 10 overall, minus special teams, the lowest total in the conference.)
Kelly says that after losing
Patrick Chung and
Jairus Byrd to the NFL draft, his secondary is admittedly a concern. They were torched lastyear to the tune of 270 yards a game, worst in the league.
[h4]Doing the splits[/h4]
The stats show some distinct differences between Oregon's offense and defense.
| | | | |
| Time of Poss. | 25:18 | 34:42 | 10 | 1 |
| Plays PG | 73.8 | 79.8 | 1 | 10 |
| Plays of 20+ Yds | 77 | 53 | 1 | 8 |
| 3rd-Down Pct. | 39.6 | 38.9 | 4 | 7 |
[th=""]Stat[/th] [th=""]Off.[/th] [th=""]Def.[/th] [th=""]O Rank (Pac-10)[/th] [th=""]D Rank (Pac-10)[/th]
But with a loaded defensive line, the coach says, "I really think we can do enough [to protect the secondary]." That's because the Ducks'defense should be able to stop the run and put a lot of pressure on quarterbacks, a secondary's best friend. Kelly also added: "What's going tosurprise people is how fast our defense is. We're very deep at linebacker; [we] can probably play nine guys there."
The new head coach is also thrilled that he brought in Jerry Azzinaro to work with the defensive line. He points out that Azzinaro groomed the likes of
Dwight Freeney, and Kelly says he will do big things in Eugene.
If you find a hole, Kelly points to a solution. Thus far, he's been able to back it up. Of course, his Ducks will also have to back it up, and fast.They start their season
at Boise State, and then face the likes of Purdue,
Utah and
Calbefore October.
No other team in America will deal with that kind of slate to get things going. But this is Oregon, now under an innovator and optimist like Kelly.
He'd tell you it's as good a way as any to work out the kinks.