McShay NFL Mock Draft
April 29, 2014
1
Jadeveon Clowney
Houston Texans (2-14)
COLLEGE: South Carolina
Class: Jr
HT: 6-5
WT: 266
POS: DE
Analysis: I still think this is the best and most logical pick for the Texans at No. 1. They obviously need a quarterback, but there isn't one rated highly enough to justify taking him over the best prospect in this draft. Clowney is the most talented defensive lineman I've ever evaluated, and you simply don't get many opportunities to take a player with his physical ability. Houston can either target a QB with the No. 33 overall pick or trade back into the first round to take one.
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2
Greg Robinson
St. Louis Rams (7-9)
COLLEGE: Auburn
HT: 6-5
WT: 332
POS: OT
Analysis: If Clowney goes No. 1, I think this pick will come down to Robinson and Clemson WR
Sammy Watkins. The Rams still lack a legitimate No. 1 target, but they also need to better protect QB
Sam Bradford, and Robinson is dominant at the point of attack and has very good athleticism for his size. One bit of buzz to throw out there: Don't rule out
Johnny Manziel landing in St. Louis. It sounds insane, and I don't think the Rams would take him at No. 2 and he won't likely be there at No. 13, but if they were to move down or back from either spot, it's a possibility. Some people around the league think the Rams are capable of taking him, even if they still believe Bradford can be the guy for them.
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3
Sammy Watkins
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-12)
COLLEGE: Clemson
Class: Jr
HT: 6-0
WT: 211
POS: WR
Analysis: The Jaguars are another team that needs a QB, and it's certainly possible that they could go in that direction here.
Khalil Mack also makes a lot of sense as a guy who could fill the "Leo" role in the Jags' defense. But Jacksonville has a need at receiver due to the uncertainty surrounding
Justin Blackmon, and Watkins brings very good speed, acceleration, competitiveness and run-after-catch ability to the position.
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4
Johnny Manziel
Cleveland Browns (4-12)
COLLEGE: Texas A&M
Class: Soph
HT: 5-11
WT: 207
POS: QB
Analysis: I'm not sold on this one, but I keep hearing that Manziel could go early, and Cleveland is a logical landing spot given its need at QB. He's a leap-of-faith pick, as I've said many times in the past few months; he has a rare ability to create, but the team that takes him must be confident that he'll do what he needs to on and off the field to win from the pocket and that he'll be able to stay healthy long term, given his playing style.
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5
Khalil Mack
Oakland Raiders (4-12)
COLLEGE: Buffalo
HT: 6-2
WT: 251
POS: OLB
Analysis: Wide receiver is a need for the Raiders, which is why Watkins would be a good option if he drops this far, and they also need to upgrade along the offensive line. In this scenario, however, Mack presents a really good excellent value. He's one of the four elite prospects in this class and would bring excellent pass rushing and versatility to the Raiders' defense. Oakland can look at a receiver or offensive tackle with the No. 36 overall pick.
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6
Jake Matthews
Atlanta Falcons (4-12)
COLLEGE: Texas A&M
HT: 6-5
WT: 308
POS: OT
Analysis: The Falcons need to improve at the tackle position, coming off a season in which franchise QB
Matt Ryan was sacked a career-high 44 times (previous high: 2
. Matthews would provide help as an experienced and effective blocker in the running and passing games. His versatility to play either tackle spot adds to his value because it would give Atlanta the option of keeping
Sam Baker on the left side or moving him over to the right.
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7
Mike Evans
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-12)
COLLEGE: Texas A&M
Class: Soph
HT: 6-4
WT: 231
POS: WR
Analysis: The Bucs have a big need at receiver opposite
Vincent Jackson, and Evans is the second-best wideout in this class. He is very competitive as a blocker and runner after the catch and brings down a high percentage of 50-50 balls due to his size, huge catching radius and big, strong hands. One trend to watch: New GM Jason Licht used seven of his eight picks in the first four rounds of his two drafts with Arizona on prospects from the Southeast and Southwest regions.
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8
Blake Bortles
Minnesota Vikings (5-10-1)
COLLEGE: UCF
Class: Jr
HT: 6-5
WT: 232
POS: QB
Analysis: The Vikings need a long-term answer at quarterback, but the presence of
Matt Cassel (who did not play terribly last season) would allow for Bortles to sit for at least part of his rookie season, which is an ideal situation for him. He has prototypical size and good mobility, and while there are some issues with his mechanics, I think they are fixable. I also wouldn't be surprised if GM Rick Spielman trades again. He made a shrewd deal in 2012 to move down and add picks while still getting
Matt Kalil and then traded back into the first round to get
Harrison Smith. He was active again in last year's first round.
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9
Taylor Lewan
Buffalo Bills (6-10)
COLLEGE: Michigan
HT: 6-7
WT: 309
POS: OT
Analysis: I've heard from three league sources in the past week that the Bills are trying to trade up. If they do make a move, it'll likely be to land Clowney, Robinson or Watkins. But if stuck at No. 9 in this scenario, I think it'd come down to Lewan and TE
Eric Ebron, and their need to protect second-year QB
EJ Manuel would be the overriding factor (the Bills allowed 48 sacks in 2013, tied for fourth most in the NFL). I don't love the fit because both Lewan and
Cordy Glenn are left tackles, but if they made this pick, they'd have to be comfortable with moving one to right tackle.
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10
Eric Ebron
Detroit Lions (7-9)
COLLEGE: North Carolina
Class: Jr
HT: 6-4
WT: 250
POS: TE
Analysis: Cornerback and safety are the biggest needs for the Lions, but I have Ebron rated higher than any of the defensive backs, and the majority of teams I've talked to have said the same.
Joseph Fauria looked good at tight end last season, but Ebron is a major upgrade, and, in reality, he'd just become another receiver in their offense in most formations. Also worth noting: Detroit has selected zero defensive backs in the first round in the past 15 drafts. More importantly, the Lions have used a lot of high picks on defenders recently (three of past four first-round picks have been D-linemen), so they can afford to go with an offensive playmaker here and address the secondary on Day 2.
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11
Darqueze Dennard
Tennessee Titans (7-9)
COLLEGE: Michigan State
Class: Sr
HT: 5-10
WT: 199
POS: CB
Analysis: I don't think that the Titans will draft a quarterback here and, while
Aaron Donald is an intriguing possibility to keep an eye on, 3-4 defensive linemen tend to be a little bit longer than he is. Dennard isn't a reach (No. 13 on our board) and would be a good fit at a need position, but I'll also say that I don't think the Titans
have to take a corner here. I actually think this is an underrated team that is a good quarterback away from being really good. They are freed up to take the best player available.
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12
Odell Beckham Jr.
New York Giants (7-9)
COLLEGE: LSU
Class: Jr
HT: 5-11
WT: 198
POS: WR
Analysis: Wide receiver isn't the top need for the Giants (tight end and offensive tackle are more pressing), but given
Hakeem Nicks' departure and
Victor Cruz's injury woes last season, it wouldn't hurt to add another playmaker at wideout to pair with
Rueben Randle. Beckham can heat it up in a hurry, has very good top-end speed is a big-time playmaker with the ball in his hands.
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13
Ha Ha Clinton-Dix
St. Louis Rams (7-9)
COLLEGE: Alabama
Class: Jr
HT: 6-1
WT: 208
POS: S
Analysis: The Rams need a safety to pair with
T.J. McDonald, and, more specifically, with all the talented pass-rushers in their defensive front, they need a good centerfielder to track down the fly balls being thrown up by opposing quarterbacks who are under duress. Clinton-Dix has really good range, instincts and ball skills, and he'd be freed up to make plays in Gregg Williams' defense behind all of that talent up front. I think he could wind up as a better pro than he was a college player.
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14
Aaron Donald
Chicago Bears (8-
COLLEGE: Pittsburgh
HT: 6-0
WT: 285
POS: DT
Analysis: Donald could be off the board by the time Chicago picks at No. 14, but in this scenario, he's an easy choice. He'd be a perfect fit as a 3-technique defensive tackle in the Bears' Tampa 2 scheme due to his ability to disrupt opponents' backfields with his snap anticipation, first-step quickness and ability to finish off plays. Chicago can address its needs in the secondary on Day 2.
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15
Kyle Fuller
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-
COLLEGE: Virginia Tech
Class: Sr
HT: 5-11
WT: 190
POS: CB
Analysis: I don't think the Steelers
have to go with a cornerback here, but it's definitely a need position. The three players it came down to for me were Fuller,
Justin Gilbert and
C.J. Mosley. Mosley could be a fit, but I think the durability concerns will probably lead to him falling a little. I'm sure they'd love to have Gilbert's playmaking ability, but they've always gone for more physical corners like Fuller over guys like Gilbert who don't get up and press and are poor tacklers. If they can find a way to trade back and add extra picks, that'd be a good move; they could get similar value to Fuller six or so spots down the board.
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16
Calvin Pryor
Dallas Cowboys (8-
COLLEGE: Louisville
Class: Jr
HT: 5-11
WT: 207
POS: S
Analysis: Defensive end, defensive tackle and safety are all need positions for the Cowboys, and in this scenario, they get a potential starter opposite leading tackler
Barry Church in the secondary. Pryor is an intimidating presence in the middle of the field who does his best work in the box but is capable of holding up in deep-half zone and deep-third coverage. He sets the tone with his relentless playing style and willingness to deliver the knockout hit.
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17
Zack Martin
Baltimore Ravens (8-
COLLEGE: Notre Dame
HT: 6-4
WT: 308
POS: OT
Analysis: This is a great fit. The Ravens need a right tackle following the free-agency departure of
Michael Oher, and Martin is a really good value here. There's a chance he ends up at guard due to his lack of ideal length, but we've projected him as an NFL tackle -- and, regardless of the position he ends up playing, he has the potential to be a very effective player. He possesses very good awareness and toughness.
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18
Brandin Cooks
New York Jets (8-
COLLEGE: Oregon State
Class: Jr
HT: 5-9
WT: 189
POS: WR
Analysis: Receiver, corner and tight end are the three biggest need areas for the Jets, and I think if they can get Cooks at No. 18 then they have to do it. They added
Eric Decker from the Broncos in free agency but still need playmakers who can stretch the field vertically, and Cooks provides that (fastest 40-yard dash time among wide receivers at the combine at 4.33). In addition to his speed, Cooks has very good route-running and run-after-catch ability.
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19
Morgan Moses
Miami Dolphins (8-
COLLEGE: Virginia
HT: 6-6
WT: 314
POS: OT
Analysis: The Dolphins should look for an opportunity to move up to go get Zack Martin (the Steelers would be a good potential trade partner at No. 15), but if they stay here, I think Moses makes sense. I don't know that everyone is as high on Moses as I am, but it's hard to have a more glaring need at a position group than the Dolphins have at offensive line. They added some pieces in free agency, including
Branden Albert, but they still have improving to do after 2013's franchise-high 58-sack campaign. Moses performed better at left tackle at Virginia than he did at right tackle, so that could make for an interesting situation with Albert slotted for the left side.
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20
C.J. Mosley
Arizona Cardinals (10-6)
COLLEGE: Alabama
Class: Sr
HT: 6-2
WT: 234
POS: ILB
Analysis: For starters, Mosley is a great value at this point in the first round, but he would also add depth at the linebacker spot.
Karlos Dansby departed in free agency, and his presumed replacement,
Kevin Minter, played just one snap as a rookie last season, and
Daryl Washington is facing a possible league punishment for an
off-the-field incident. Durability is a question mark with Mosley, but he is a relentless playmaker.
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21
Ryan Shazier
Green Bay Packers (8-7-1)
COLLEGE: Ohio State
HT: 6-1
WT: 237
POS: OLB
Analysis: Safety and tight end are other needs for the Packers, but Shazier is a good fit at linebacker. He has marginal bulk for the position but very good speed and sideline-to-sideline range against the run. Green Bay has spent its past eight first-round picks on offensive line or defensive front-seven players, so taking Shazier would continue that trend. There's a lot of playmaking ability in the group of
Julius Peppers,
A.J. Hawk, Shazier and
Clay Matthews.
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22
Justin Gilbert
Philadelphia Eagles (10-6)
COLLEGE: Oklahoma State
Class: Sr
HT: 6-0
WT: 202
POS: CB
Analysis: I also considered Anthony Barr and
Marqise Lee here, as both would fill need positions and are coming off of very productive careers in the Pac-12 (so there's more of a familiarity there for Chip Kelly). But Gilbert is a good value at this spot who also fills a need. He is not very physical but has an excellent combination of size and speed to go with very good ball skills and playmaking ability. Gilbert might be able to help out in the return game as well.
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23
Marqise Lee
Kansas City Chiefs (11-5)
COLLEGE: USC
Class: Jr
HT: 5-11
WT: 192
POS: WR
Analysis: The Chiefs could look to trade back here to get back the second-rounder they used to acquire
Alex Smith last year. But if they stay here, a wide receiver makes sense given that it is one of the biggest needs on the roster. Lee doesn't have the timed speed of some of the other receivers in this class, and he had some issues with drops in 2013, but he has excellent fluidity as a route-runner and is faster on the field than his 40 time would indicate.
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24
Jason Verrett
Cincinnati Bengals (11-5)
COLLEGE: TCU
Class: Sr
HT: 5-9
WT: 189
POS: CB
Analysis: The Bengals need to get younger at the cornerback position, and this is a good spot for Verrett to come off the board. He's undersized for the position but plays big enough to make up for it, and he can really stick to people in man-to-man coverage due to his excellent change-of-direction ability and elite top-end speed. Cincinnati's other needs are at defensive end and along the offensive line.
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25
Anthony Barr
San Diego Chargers (9-7)
COLLEGE: UCLA
Class: Sr
HT: 6-4
WT: 255
POS: OLB
Analysis: This could be a good time for the Chargers to bring in a developing pass-rusher like Barr, with
Dwight Freeney getting up in years,
Melvin Ingram returning from a torn ACL and
Jarret Johnson's cap number for 2015 being $7.5 million. There's more finesse to Barr's game at this point in his career than I'd like to see, and he isn't a great finisher on tape, but he has upside as an edge-rusher because of his elite top-end speed for the position.
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26
Cody Latimer
Cleveland Browns (4-12)
COLLEGE: Indiana
Class: Jr
HT: 6-2
WT: 215
POS: WR
Analysis: The Browns got their QB at No. 4 in Manziel, and now they'll add a weapon for him to throw to opposite
Josh Gordon. I was really impressed with Latimer's tape when I finally got the chance to study him recently, and he's a really good fit for an offense like Cleveland's that figures to incorporate some West Coast principles under new offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan. He has good size, instincts, run-after-catch ability and toughness.
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27
Bradley Roby
New Orleans Saints (11-5)
COLLEGE: Ohio State
Class: Jr
HT: 5-11
WT: 194
POS: CB
Analysis: Roby's technique and eye discipline were poor at times during the 2013 season, but he is the most physically gifted cover corner in this class with his combination of length, straight-line speed and fluidity. The team that drafts him will have to be comfortable with their understanding of his recent
off-field incident. The presence of
Champ Bailey would be a good thing for Roby as a young cornerback in need of some mentoring both in terms of his technique and how to be a pro.
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28
Joel Bitonio
Carolina Panthers (12-4)
COLLEGE: Nevada
HT: 6-4
WT: 302
POS: OT
Analysis: Two of the Panthers' glaring needs are at wide receiver and offensive tackle, and Bitonio has the potential to develop into
Jordan Gross' replacement at left tackle. He doesn't have ideal length but possesses quick feet and good balance. Moreover, he's a tone-setting finisher who gives excellent effort. He's ideally suited for a zone-blocking scheme like Carolina's.
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29
Ra'Shede Hageman
New England Patriots (12-4)
COLLEGE: Minnesota
HT: 6-5
WT: 310
POS: DT
Analysis: Defensive tackle is a need area for the Patriots, with a pair of veteran players in
Vince Wilfork and
Tommy Kelly coming off of serious injuries. Hageman is a good value pick at this point in the first round, and he possesses an elite skill set and combination of height, weight and athleticism. He does, however, need a lot of refining in terms of his technique, and he is a young man who will need good structure around him to succeed.
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30
Kelvin Benjamin
San Francisco 49ers (12-4)
COLLEGE: Florida State
Class: Soph
HT: 6-5
WT: 240
POS: WR
Analysis: The Niners are a candidate to trade up, given the number of picks they have (six in the first three rounds and 11 overall), but if they stay put here, they could look to land a wide receiver to play alongside
Anquan Boldin and
Michael Crabtree. Benjamin isn't a burner and displayed some erratic ball skills on tape, but he could be worth the risk here because he's a matchup nightmare down the field due to his size (6-foot-5, 240 pounds), strength, body control and catch radius.
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31
Kony Ealy
Denver Broncos (13-3)
COLLEGE: Missouri
HT: 6-4
WT: 273
POS: DE
Analysis: The Broncos could look at cornerback here, but they could also use some additional depth and pass-rushing along the defensive line, which Ealy would provide. He could afford to be a little more physical, but his versatility and ability to get to the quarterback are both strengths. Denver needs to get a player who can contribute right away at this spot, as they are in win-now mode with
Peyton Manning at quarterback.
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32
Stephon Tuitt
Seattle Seahawks (13-3)
COLLEGE: Notre Dame
HT: 6-5
WT: 304
POS: DE
Analysis: Tuitt would be a good fit as the 5-technique defensive end in the Seahawks' defense, a role previously occupied by
Red Bryant (now with the Jaguars). He's a top-15 prospect in this draft based on his talent alone, but there are some concerns with his motor and consistency. Pete Carroll has an impressive track record of maximizing the talent of guys like Tuitt, which is why this could make for a really good match to close out the first round.
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