***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

[flip5stacks]

I've been leaking money for the last 2 weeks. I might just take the rest of the year off and pick up during NFL playoffs.

 

[ayyntee]

Took a win a today on UCF, forgot to post.  [color= rgb(255, 255, 255)]East Carolina at Louisiana Lafayette (-4.0) is the morning bowl, taking [/color][color= rgb(255, 255, 255)]Louisiana Lafayette bought some pts that is why my line is so low.  Will post more plays if I win this game.  Good Luck.[/color]

 

[mr marcus]

Vikings +7.5
Yes or No?

I wouldn't.

Hit on my parlay today.

3 huge moneylines....**** probably didn't pay 1:1

should've played the spreads and got that 7:1 

 

[jpzx]

I don't subscribe to that belief. I take the safe win... Vegas is eerily right when it comes to their lines, and I'm not going to mess with them.

I hit my money line parlays 85% of the time.

 

[mr marcus]

I don't subscribe to that belief.

I take the safe win... Vegas is eerily right when it comes to their lines, and I'm not going to mess with them.

I hit my money line parlays 85% of the time.

i'm not knocking money line parlays but -3750, -1800, and -450 parlayed together isn't anything worth posting/bragging about 

 .....you might get lucky to win $30 if you put $200 on it 

basically, unless you laid a couple thousand then you aint win ****....no shade just saying 

 

[yeahitsrust]

Boise St -4

First bet in a few days for me. Just had the itch to throw money on something lol.

 

[fraij da 5 11]

Boise St -4

First bet in a few days for me. Just had the itch to throw money on something lol.

I think its one of the better bets today... I have them -5.5 in my parlay with UCF from yesterday.

 

[mr marcus]

[table][tr][td] [/td][td] [/td][td] [/td][td]$310.00[/td][td]Win[/td][td]2 Team Parlay[/td][/tr][tr][td] [/td][td] [/td][td] [/td][td] [/td][td] [/td][td]Win[/td][td]12/22/12 12:00pm   College Basketball  618 Dayton -210*  vs  Murray State[/td][/tr][tr][td] [/td][td] [/td][td] [/td][td] [/td][td] [/td][td]Win[/td][td]12/22/12 12:00pm   College Basketball  617 Murray State/Dayton 1st Half Over 66 -110*[/td][/tr][/table]
lil something to start the day off...might be opposite of yall and bet washington but I need to take a nap and not cap this game right now....gotta work 7p-7a tonight 

 

[651akathepaul]

I'm on UW...Homer pick, I know, but if they limit turnovers then they should get this. Already a fumble and pts off of TO for Boise. No bueno.

 

[651akathepaul]

I don't subscribe to that belief. I take the safe win... Vegas is eerily right when it comes to their lines, and I'm not going to mess with them.
I hit my money line parlays 85% of the time.

If you keep going with betting into baseball season then be careful.

I do strictly ML parlays and make a killing doing it, but what I've found is the huge favorites in baseball will lose more often than any other sport, so those huge lines just aren't worth it. Just throwing that out there from what I've learned from experience.

 

[651akathepaul]

Bittersweet. UW covers, but they could have won that damn game. Whatever. Moving on.

I should stay away from tonight's game, but I won't. Detroit is dangerous, but looks like they've given up. Atlanta is playing to secure the #1 seed. Gotta go ATL here don't we?

Falcons -4 it is!

 

[lexlieno]

I'm Looking at CHI(5.5),WAS(-6.5),NE(15.5), HOU(-7.5). I'm thinking about swapping NYG(-2) @ bmore.  Any tips? Also I'm actually going to a casino for the first time.  Are there any rules/limits to how many bets I can place? A few friends wanted me to place some bets for them.

 

[ayyntee]

No limits on bets. They want as much bets as they can get there hands on.

 

[lexlieno]

No limits on bets. They want as much bets as they can get there hands on.

Cool.  I'm putting in 8 parlays...

 

[651akathepaul]

Vikings +7.5
Yes or No?

Yes.

 

[lexlieno]

Yes.

Why yes? I feel like HOU -7.5 has a better chance of happening.  MIN is too one dimensional.  HOU stops AD.  Then they'll have to rely on Ponder and it'll be a repeat of HOU v BAL earlier in the season.

 

[651akathepaul]

Why yes? I feel like HOU -7.5 has a better chance of happening.  MIN is too one dimensional.  HOU stops AD.  Then they'll have to rely on Ponder and it'll be a repeat of HOU v BAL earlier in the season.

Gut mixed with homerism and boom!

Nah, but really...7.5 is a huge number in the NFL. I don't care who it is. It was something I fell victim too as a rookie bettor. Thinking that a team is obviously much better and then believing that one touchdown plus the PAT is gimme. The fact is, while Minnesota is one dimensional on offense, they are still a good football team in other areas and a team that is in need of a win.

The Vikings have done a great job at applying pressure to opposing Q's and all we hear about is the Watt swat, but the Vikings D-front does their fair share of blocking passes. The pressure has shown to cater to the creation of turnovers, which can keep them in a game. Their rookie kicker is clutch. The ability to consistently make 50-55 yard FG's is a huge aspect in betting because it chips into a large spread.

Ponder will have a good game. Yes. I said he WILL. Since AP's been running rupshot on the League, Ponder has faced 8 to 9 in the box and man-to-man coverage on the outside. As much as the Vikings love to just give it to AP all day, they know that in order to get to and possibly win in a playoff type atmosphere, they have to pass the ball efficiently. They'll have play designs to give Ponder some opportunity and maybe catch Houston, who will be creeping up to smash AP all game.

Houston is in the playoffs and even though they're still in a position race for playoff seeding, sometimes it's the team that is just that much more hungry that wins these type games. Houston easily has the potential to blow this game up, but the trends of these two teams lead me to believe the Vikings have just enough ammo to win. They've seen the blueprints and despite the appearance that they can't throw the ball...In every other aspect of the game, they are good to very good.

I'll take my chances with Minny.

P.S. - And yes...My thought process is even more thorough than this sometimes when I'm looking into betting games.

 

[lexlieno]

Gut mixed with homerism and boom!

Nah, but really...7.5 is a huge number in the NFL. I don't care who it is. It was something I fell victim too as a rookie bettor. Thinking that a team is obviously much better and then believing that one touchdown plus the PAT is gimme. The fact is, while Minnesota is one dimensional on offense, they are still a good football team in other areas and a team that is in need of a win.
The Vikings have done a great job at applying pressure to opposing Q's and all we hear about is the Watt swat, but the Vikings D-front does their fair share of blocking passes. The pressure has shown to cater to the creation of turnovers, which can keep them in a game. Their rookie kicker is clutch. The ability to consistently make 50-55 yard FG's is a huge aspect in betting because it chips into a large spread.
Ponder will have a good game. Yes. I said he WILL.

Since AP's been running rupshot on the League, Ponder has faced 8 to 9 in the box and man-to-man coverage on the outside. As much as the Vikings love to just give it to AP all day, they know that in order to get to and possibly win in a playoff type atmosphere, they have to pass the ball efficiently. They'll have play designs to give Ponder some opportunity and maybe catch Houston, who will be creeping up to smash AP all game.
Houston is in the playoffs and even though they're still in a position race for playoff seeding, sometimes it's the team that is just that much more hungry that wins these type games. Houston easily has the potential to blow this game up, but the trends of these two teams lead me to believe the Vikings have just enough ammo to win. They've seen the blueprints and despite the appearance that they can't throw the ball...In every other aspect of the game, they are good to very good.
I'll take my chances with Minny.

P.S. - And yes...My thought process is even more thorough than this sometimes when I'm looking into betting games.

Respect. But who will ponder throw it to?

 

[651akathepaul]

The ***** in the armor of my argument. It's a glaring weak spot, no doubt. I can't sugar coat it with analytics. It's simple. Someone is going to have to step up and make some plays. Jerome Simpson has the ability, but hasn't been what the Vikings hoped up to this point. Rudolph is a threat...Just not on the outside. Jarius Wright is a definite dark horse and I believe they utilize him like they did a few weeks ago in using him like Percy. It's going to come down to someone coming up big and the coaching staff devising plays that get its receivers on the outside the ball.

 

[lexlieno]

The ***** in the armor of my argument. It's a glaring weak spot, no doubt. I can't sugar coat it with analytics. It's simple. Someone is going to have to step up and make some plays. Jerome Simpson has the ability, but hasn't been what the Vikings hoped up to this point. Rudolph is a threat...Just not on the outside. Jarius Wright is a definite dark horse and I believe they utilize him like they did a few weeks ago in using him like Percy. It's going to come down to someone coming up big and the coaching staff devising plays that get its receivers on the outside the ball.

That's why I ride with HOU.  I have them blowing you guys out.   AD will get garbage yards tho, 100+.  The MIN WR core is so sus.  GB ran man the whole game with no safety help.  Plenty of teams run man VS your WRs.  Im not trying to bash your team at all  bro, I'm just saying when they go down by 14.......and have to rely on Ponder....game over.

 

[651akathepaul]

I don't take offense to stuff like that, man. We'll see what happens though...

 

[mr marcus]

I don't subscribe to that belief. I take the safe win... Vegas is eerily right when it comes to their lines, and I'm not going to mess with them.
I hit my money line parlays 85% of the time.

If you keep going with betting into baseball season then be careful.

I do strictly ML parlays and make a killing doing it, but what I've found is the huge favorites in baseball will lose more often than any other sport, so those huge lines just aren't worth it. Just throwing that out there from what I've learned from experience.

Yea moneyline in baseball is normal and the biggest you'll ever see is -300 so it's apples an oranges comparing that with basketball when you parlaying -3000 ml lol @jpz


But yea moneyline parlays in baseball can be a quick come up...made decent money last season on em

But I remember I laid -300 on dickey against the Rockies towards the end of the season and lost lmaoo..I was sick as hell

 

[651akathepaul]

Yep. I stay away from those lines now. Maybe it's just my bad luck, but I've lost betting on guys like Halladay and Verlander.

 

[scuse7]

Late night degenerate action on ESPNU

Hawaii +10 vs Miami. 

 

[651akathepaul]

Quell -

Good looks on referring that site cappingthegame a few weeks back. Just visited there tonight and only entered one thread and already like it way more than therx.