***$$$-NT Sportsbook Thread vol.2- Props props props props props props... EVERYBODY!

[DeadsetAce]

Deadset who you got for tonight in NHL?

i wouldn't bet on tonight's game. i'm guessing dallas is favored being at home and all, but anaheim is the better team this year. if it was in anaheim, i'd take anaheim. gun to my head, i'd take anaheim tonight. but i'm not confident enough to bet money on it with the game in dallas

with hockey, i usually only bet on games i'm pretty confident on

 

[DeadsetAce]

SCuse7 is also another NTer that bets on hockey pretty regularly i think...he'd be another guy with some good insight i think in addition to Pro

 

[651akathepaul]

Hockey seems like it's relative to baseball in terms of betting. Moneyline betting with tons of value in the ML spreads if you routinely follow hockey to know the teams and whatnot.

Pro or DSA (not sure if you bet on baseball) if you can shed some light on that...I'm curious because I don't really follow hockey.

 

[DeadsetAce]

for me, it's definitely mostly ML bets. very rare to be able to feel confident in a team winning by two or more goals in today's NHL. needs to be an EXTREMELY lopsided matchup. ML bets with 2-3 team parlays now and then is how i do it.

i've never done baseball, but maybe it's something i should look into next year. sounds like some of y'all do pretty well with it.

EDIT: with baseball, i assume a lot has to do with pitching matchups. with hockey for me, i look at strong home teams versus slouch teams, while paying attention to win streaks. once a team is on a 5 or 6 game win streak, i tend to lay off.

 

[mr marcus]

can 5dimes deposit your $$ straight into your bank account/card?

I've never used the option but there is an option where they can put the money in your account through your debit...forgot the exact name for the method...think you have to you use another payout as your 1st tho

Edit: speaking of baseball...can't wait for it to return...had a decent run with 1st 5 inning bets...hopefully it carries into next season

 

[651akathepaul]

for me, it's definitely mostly ML bets. very rare to be able to feel confident in a team winning by two or more goals in today's NHL. needs to be an EXTREMELY lopsided matchup. ML bets with 2-3 team parlays now and then is how i do it. with baseball, i assume a lot has to do with pitching matchups. with hockey for me, i look at strong home teams versus slouch teams, while paying attention to win streaks. once a team is on a 5 or 6 game win streak, i tend to lay off.

i've never done baseball, but maybe it's something i should look into next year. sounds like some of y'all do pretty well with it.

EDIT: with baseball, i assume a lot has to do with pitching matchups. with hockey for me, i look at strong home teams versus slouch teams, while paying attention to win streaks. once a team is on a 5 or 6 game win streak, i tend to lay off.

Baseball is strictly parlays for me these days. I tend to stay away from -220 lines for example, because the risk/reward isn't there...Unless that team is hot or something and I really love the play.

Pitching matchups is probably my biggest main indicator, but I always be careful to see if a relative no-namer has been quietly having great starts or a hot stretch because then the over/under comes into play.

 

[proshares]

sorry guys, I'm actually still at work so I didn't really see much of this until now.

It's a little unconventional but I try to stick to either to goal lines or betting whether or not a game will go to overtime.

With the goal lines, I usually stick to either good teams against bad teams or teams with top notch goalies going up against lower level defensive teams. I know they'll 85% of the time win and usually by more than one goal. A huge part of betting that way is knowing the goalie is 90% of the time getting pulled, leaving you wide open for that extra goal if you happened to need it. Always check into the value but they're always -1.5 goals with at least +200 odds.

OT games, I don't take too often. I either stick to big goalie match ups, big offense match ups or big rivalry games. I never do more than one a night if any at all.

Not much tonight so I messed around with a little parlay:

212160854-1 11/26/13 5:49pm $20.00 $71.64 Pending 2 Team Parlay
Win 11/26/13 7:00pm College Basketball 542 Syracuse -5 -110* vs California
Pending 11/26/13 9:30pm College Basketball 544 Dayton +140* vs Baylor

 

[stork]

Proshares -- do you have any hockey suggestions ? Ive heard its pretty money , but id have NO idea what i was doing trying to bet it

there are a lot of NFL games im tempted to take :

Packers + 6 -- historically the Lions are *** in this game and have been owned by the Packers . Flynn looked good last week , and theres a chance Rodgers comes back
Raiders + 9 -- i think the public is high on cowboys and too harsh on oakland . cowboys will get the W , but highly doubt they cover
Jags + 7.5 -- Cleveland is a mess at QB ; they arent good enough to beat the Jags who are playing better by more than a tuddie
Cardinals + 3 -- at the Eagles , who have one of the worst home records in recent memory over the past two seasons ? taking this one without hesitation
Rams + 8.5 -- people are probably going to overreact to their first meeting this year . historically though , Kap struggles against strong front 7s and the Rams have one of the best in the league . niners win but doubt they cover

as you can tell , i love dogs

Packers +6 - not a bad idea, but I would go with the Lions, they're both mediocre teams even tho the lions are first in a weak division they have home field which they've been ok on. also rodgers is out according to McCarthy....little deja vu again for us...

Raiders - I agree, last few games they've put up points, I think this has the best odds, i see the line right now back @ +9.5 -110, i might jump on this come Thursday...

Cards +3 - True, Philly is poor @ home, however cards have two road wins, one over the rams, and one over TB ...also we gotta wait to find out if the cowboys win or not on Thursday since the division race is close. I'd pick Philly @ home, 2nd home win of the season i predict.

 

[olx9o]

Wow

Made money on da niners doe

They cancelled my bet

 

[651akathepaul]

Second guessing Packers and Ravens for tomorrow. Raiders should still be my play though.

Lions pass rush might bring out the real Matt Flynn that has struggled to be a starter in multiple stops the last few years. Clay Matthews wasn't 100% last weekend and I doubt he is tomorrow. Lions should score at will. Jim Schwartz is the only one who can get in the way.

 

[scuse7]

Raiders is the play if anything. Dallas rarely covers at home. 

Lions PK/Raiders +17.5 teaser looks good......

I'll be on Ravens at home if I can find 2.5.

 

[flip5stacks]

Not to sway anyone in any direction, but for those considering the OAK/DAL game:

- On Thanksgiving Day teams favored by at least 9 points are 15-2 ATS, 16-1 SU, and the over is 5-11 since 1978.
- Starting in 2006 when Romo has been the starting quarterback the Cowboys are averaging 29.71 points per game on Thanksgiving.
- Meanwhile the Raiders are averaging 16.54 points per game on the road since Dennis Allen took over. With a 7-6 ATS and 2-11 SU record.

 

[prez t]

Not to sway anyone in any direction, but for those considering the OAK/DAL game:

- On Thanksgiving Day teams favored by at least 9 points are 15-2 ATS, 16-1 SU, and the over is 5-11 since 1978.
- Starting in 2006 when Romo has been the starting quarterback the Cowboys are averaging 29.71 points per game on Thanksgiving.
- Meanwhile the Raiders are averaging 16.54 points per game on the road since Dennis Allen took over. With a 7-6 ATS and 2-11 SU record.

definitely valuable info . still going with the Raiders here , gotta trust my gut

 

[yeahitsrust]

Thank you Scuse!!!

 

[House Targaryen]

The lines are moving like crazy right now!

 

[stork]

Lines moved....Raiders +7.5 -110

must have been a ton of money playing raiders +9.5

 

[651akathepaul]

Back to 9.5. Vegas probably need more action on Dallas, but that just means to me that Oakland is the right play.

 

[asianplayer]

Did parlay

Lions -6.5
Raiders +10
Steelers +3.5

 

[flip5stacks]

Early picks:

Detroit -6.5
Detroit o48.5
Megatron o110.5 yards

 

[DeadsetAce]

Back to 9.5. Vegas probably need more action on Dallas, but that just means to me that Oakland is the right play.

yessir

6 point tease for me...in at:

Det (-0.5)
Oak (+15.5)

 

[651akathepaul]

Lions -6
Raiders +9.5
Steelers +3 (bought the hook from 2.5)

10 units each.

Also a parlay with all above except Steerlers at +2.5 for 2 units.

Book it! Let's eat!

 

[macncheeese]

I know there's been a lot of talk about Oakland covering. Would you boys take the Raiders at +8.5?

 

[651akathepaul]

Yes. I would've took them at +7.5.

 

[651akathepaul]

Oakland was my most confident pick of the day and since I won the early game, my trigger finger is starting to itch.

Might unload a little more for Oakland.

 

[DeadsetAce]

don't do it, 651. stand pat