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Fair enough on your point about your friend. Again, it’s still mostly random.
No, when we’re dealing with such low probability and a small amount of accounts there isn’t a “should have more wins.” If you look across ALL Snkrs accounts then yes you may see that. But when you’re comparing a small amount of accounts amongst friends then no. Unless you’re analyzing over 2000 accounts then your data or observations aren’t statistically significant.
I agree that you can't make a general statement off a limited amount of accounts but I'm just commenting from what I've seen on NT, on twitter, and amongst my group of sneaker friends. I know people who buy a ton of **** off the Nike+ app and SNKRS and have maybe one 1-2 limited sneakers in 5 years. And I have friends who only try for hyped shoes and end up with 6+ limited cops a year off SNKRS.
I got exclusive access to the Off White presto from the original ten launch and didn't buy anything on SNKRS for a year prior. And that was arguably top 3 most limited sneakers on the app that whole year.