Roy Oswalt would help Philly's rotation, but the lineup would suffer and questions would still remain.
Roy Oswalt has wanted a chance to play for a winner, and he mused to a friend earlier this year that he wants what Roy Halladay got in the offseason -- a chance to land with a team capable of winning the World Series. And so it could be that today or tomorrow, if the Phillies and Astros work out a tentative agreement for the right-hander, Oswalt will have a chance to accept or reject the exact opportunity that Halladay had -- to pitch for the Philadelphia Phillies.
In order to make this happen, and to balance out their budget numbers, the Phillies are in simultaneous talks with the Tampa Bay Rays about outfielder Jayson Werth.
But talent evaluators with other teams were asking an interesting question late Tuesday night, as ESPN reported the on-going talks: If the Phillies land Roy Oswalt, are they good enough to contend for the World Series?
"They've got real holes over there, and I know they need a starting pitcher," said one executive. "But I think their lineup is as much of a problem now (as the pitching questions). If they got two Roy Oswalts, I'm not sure it would make a difference."
Phillies GM Ruben Amaro has been pushing like crazy to trade Werth, and he has told others that he'd really like to call up Domonic Brown, who is hitting .346 in Triple-A. Would the rookie be able to jump-start the offense? It's hard to say. A lineup that already leans to the left would get even more left-handed, and Brown would probably go through the inevitable growing pains, as Jason Heyward and others have experienced this season. He is known to be an aggressive hitter -- he's got 33 walks and 66 strikeouts in 346 at-bats this season -- and that could work against him during his break-in period.
This is what the Phillies' lineup with Domonic Brown and Chase Utley (when the second baseman comes back) and without Werth:
SS Jimmy Rollins: Switch-hitter
3B Placido Polanco: Right-handed
2B Chase Utley: Left-handed
1B Ryan Howard: Left-handed
CF Shane Victorino: Switch-hitter
RF Domonic Brown: Left-handed
LF Raul Ibanez: Left-handed
C Carlos Ruiz: Right-handed
But what the Oswalt/Brown/Werth movement could be about, at its heart, is an effort to start positioning the Phillies for 2011. Oswalt is under contract for 2011; Jayson Werth is going to depart as a free agent after this season; and Brown would be better in 2011 for the experience he would gain this year.
These conversations might have a greater impact on the pennant race in the American League, if Werth lands with the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays have been looking at alternatives to upgrade the middle of their lineup. They tried Pat Burrell and Hank Blalock and others, and consistency from the 5-6-7 spots in their lineup continues to be a problem, because of the high strikeout rates and low batting averages of Carlos Pena, B.J. Upton and others.
[h4]Buster's new book[/h4]
Buster Olney is the author of the forthcoming book "last year's ESPYS[/color]. "How Lucky You Can Be" is due for release in September.
Werth is a good defensive outfielder, he can run, he can hit with power, and he draws walks. But the Rays would be getting him when he's mired in a deep, deep slump. His OPS has dropped from month to month during this season, as he heads toward free agency, and is under .600 for the month of July. He has four homers in 142 at-bats in June and July, and he is on his way to a season of about 160 strikeouts. It's possible that Werth would represent more of the same for the Rays, in the middle of their lineup.
The talks are advanced, reports the Houston Chronicle. Ruben Amaro hinted that he's ready to deal, and that was before Jamie Moyer strained his elbow.
[h3]Around the league[/h3]
• Mark Cuban has been named as a serious bidder for the Rangers, writes Barry Shlachter. This will be interesting.
Getty ImagesWant to trade Jose Bautista? Toronto may have to with arbitration on the horizon.
• Jose Bautista mashed the 26th homer of his season Tuesday, in the midst of the best season he has ever had. He's extremely versatile, too, able to play multiple positions. This is why the Toronto Blue Jays have set a very high price on Bautista, in trade discussions with other teams, who say that the Jays are basically asking for elite young players.
There is a perception among other teams that there is a bluff involved here, though. Bautista is making $2.4 million this year and with five-plus years of service time after this year, he is positioned perfectly for arbitration -- and rival executives think he'll be in line for an award of $10 million to $12 million. "There's no way that the Jays will pay him that," said one rival official. "No way. They have to trade him. They're not going to keep him around at that salary, based on one good year."
So some rival teams will wait to see if the Jays' asking price goes down as the deadline gets closer.
• Heard this: The Dodgers think they will be able to add both a starting pitcher and a relief pitcher before the July 31 deadline, making trades similar to those they've made in recent years when they've surrendered a higher caliber of prospect while asking their trade partner to pay the salary of the player involved. This is what they did in the case of Manny Ramirez and Casey Blake.
The pressure is on the Dodgers to get help as soon as possible, because the team has absolutely collapsed at the outset of the second half; they blew a lead on Tuesday night and had their guts ripped out, as Don Mattingly made a mistake. This was a tough one to lose, Clayton Kershaw said.
• Heard this: The expectation among some teams is that the Red Sox, sitting in third place in the AL East right now, could be the most aggressive team on the waiver wire, placing claims and blocking players from getting to the Yankees and Rays, this at a time when a lot of teams are not taking on money and might be reluctant to place waiver claims.
• Lou Piniella is retiring. He has always reminded me, in his actions, a whole lot like George Steinbrenner. He didn't know what he was getting into, writes Chris De Luca. For Piniella, this was the right call at the wrong time.
This could be a dicey political situation for general manager Jim Hendry, who is going to help pick the next manager, according to the team's owner. Ryne Sandberg, one of the Cubs' all-time greats, is the clear heir apparent within the organization and it would be easy to choose him. But if Hendry thinks he might be the right guy for the job, he must also consider the question of how difficult it would be if it doesn't go well with Sandberg -- in other words, how tough would it be to let him go? They shouldn't pick Sandberg unless they think he's absolutely the right guy for the job.
And if they're not going to pick Sandberg, they're going to need a big name, whether it be Joe Torre or Tony La Russa or Joe Girardi, who all have expiring contracts after this season.
Tom Ricketts is part of a real changing of the guard, writes David Haugh. Hendry deserves a chance to rebuild the Cubs, writes Phil Rogers. Ricketts's confidence in his current management team is scary, writes Rick Morrissey.
[h3]Dings and dents[/h3]
1. Erik Bedard is probably not going to pitch this season, he says. Not a surprise.
2. Clay Buchholz will come off the disabled list today, as Nick Cafardo writes. Jed Lowrie is close to being activated.
3. Todd Helton's return is likely delayed until Saturday, writes Troy Renck.
4. David Eckstein got hurt again.
5. Carl Crawford was sore but relieved after being hit in a really bad spot, and all males understand.
6. A Cardinal could be out an extra two to three weeks.