Hide Ya Wives, Hide Ya Kids: Worldwide Coronavirus Pandemic!

[Blake P]

A small study in India revealed that convalescent plasma treatment in hospitalized patients did not affect outcome. At first I was shocked, but it's actually not all that surprising for the same reasons that Remdesivir does not seem to work for hospitalized patients. By the time someone requires hospitalization, the virus has replicated so much that it's no longer the virus itself that's causing the problems. It's most often the body's immune response that's causing inflamation, clotting, etc (cytokine storm) that leads to hospitalization, ICU, intubation, and death. Convalescent plasma, Remdesivir, and even the hyped monoclonal antibody cocktails work by stopping the viral replication before the damage has been done to prevent infected individuals from serious disease. If they are not given very early, they simply will not produce the desired results. Once the cytokine storm has begun, the best course of treatment is Dexamethasone (or similar steroid) to regulate the immune system overreaction and related inflamation/clotting.

 

[gry60]

Good read about why we can't just let this virus rip and hope for herd immunity:



And here's today's numbers. Even deaths look like they're trending upward again (they never really went that far down to begin with):

 

[elpablo21]

 

[Blake P]

Half a million deaths by the end of February? Current COVID-19 strategies have the US headed in that direction, experts say

Researchers from the University of Washington also found that wearing masks in public to prevent coronavirus spread could save nearly 130,000 lives.

www.usatoday.com

 

[jape]

Is this cause of the Trump rallies?

 

[whywesteppin]

I've been shooting hoops by myself at an outdoor court. It's great. I've always loved shooting alone, but it's especially nice right now.

Too bad the weather is crumbling so I won't get to do it much more until spring.

 

[whywesteppin]

Is this cause of the Trump rallies?

On its own, the rallies probably are only contributing a fraction to these rises. But you have to believe that those same people are the ones who are walking into 7-11 without their masks on or going to packed bars on Tuesday afternoons or greeting/hugging their entire church congregation every Sunday.

 

[blastercombo]

Is this cause of the Trump rallies?

Not only but in conjunction. Large cities were hit hard due to close proximity. These more spread out places are getting hit because of their willingness to be in close proximity.

 

[whywesteppin]

Half a million deaths by the end of February? Current COVID-19 strategies have the US headed in that direction, experts say

Researchers from the University of Washington also found that wearing masks in public to prevent coronavirus spread could save nearly 130,000 lives.

www.usatoday.com

I think that's the IHME forecasts? They've always tended to be a bit sensationalist (and incorrect).

Sadly, Youyang Gu is shutting down his forecasts, which were some of the best: https://youyanggu.com/blog/six-months-later

He offers recommendations of a few models in his blog post. This aggregate model is the best place to start though:

Home - COVID 19 forecast hub

Your source for up-to-date forecasts of COVID-19.

covid19forecasthub.org

 

[D.Josey]

Just got a Costco email for these..

https://www.costco.com/covid-19-saliva-pcr-test-kit%2c-redeemed-by-azova.product.100706742.html

 

[160jordansdeep]

 

[blastercombo]

Just got a Costco email for these..

https://www.costco.com/covid-19-saliva-pcr-test-kit%2c-redeemed-by-azova.product.100706742.html

130? Hell no

 

[Comparison Ford]

The initial increase from the 0.8-0.9% positivity rate to the 1.2-1.4% we started seeing this month was alarming at first, but we seem to be chilling there as a state and the spikes have remained somewhat localized to certain neighborhoods/towns.

All I heard from the doctors at my job was how they were expecting October to be NY's second wave. Here's to hoping they missed the mark completely.

 

[whywesteppin]

There are many potential flaws with this analysis but holy ****:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/10/23/pandemic-data-chart-masks/

 

[whywesteppin]

Just got a Costco email for these..

https://www.costco.com/covid-19-saliva-pcr-test-kit%2c-redeemed-by-azova.product.100706742.html

There's sadly a divide developing between those able to get efficient testing and those not able to. The product you've posted are one of many I've seen or heard of that cost >$100, may not be covered by insurance, and still take days for results (shipping time + 1-3 days).

Meanwhile, others have access to free, frequent (weekly or twice weekly) testing through work or school with results in 24-48 hours.

The initial increase from the 0.8-0.9% positivity rate to the 1.2-1.4% we started seeing this month was alarming at first, but we seem to be chilling there as a state and the spikes have remained somewhat localized to certain neighborhoods/towns.

All I heard from the doctors at my job was how they were expecting October to be NY's second wave. Here's to hoping they missed the mark completely.

Yup, big props to NYC for keeping it under control.

If anything, the 1.2-1.4% may just be a bunch of mini-surges that add up to look like a new flat baseline. The challenge over the next 3-6 months will be keeping these to mini-surges.

 

[blastercombo]

There are many potential flaws with this analysis but holy ****:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/10/23/pandemic-data-chart-masks/

Just gotta point and laugh at some point. Huge correlation with a lack of education, republican support, and anti masking

 

[elpablo21]

 

[whywesteppin]

Just gotta point and laugh at some point. Huge correlation with a lack of education, republican support, and anti masking

so many confounded variables

 

[frink85]

COVID-19 outbreak reported at LA megachurch that held indoor services in defiance of court ruling

Los Angeles County public health officials are investigating a coronavirus outbreak at a Sun Valley megachurch.

abc7.com

 

[elpablo21]

Damn, topped 80k today

 

[whywesteppin]

Damn, topped 80k today

not looking great. keep in mind the threshold set for NYC travel restrictions was coming from a state with fewer than 100 cases per million. The Dakotas are more than 10x that threshold.

 

[dman14]

covid not slowing down
did they forget the first wave
i hear riots are breaking out
yep, they wildin out

 

[05fordgt]

I've been shooting hoops by myself at an outdoor court. It's great. I've always loved shooting alone, but it's especially nice right now.

Too bad the weather is crumbling so I won't get to do it much more until spring.

That's my favorite thing as well buddy. It's great that no one is out. Just myself. I was using my tennis ball machine to hit alone on the court and it was terrific being the only one outside on the courts. I stopped playing pickup ball for good at the beginning of the year when I went on disability, and at my age (44) and all my medical ailments, I'm not gonna get hurt and make my life harder than it is now. Not worth it.

 

[dman14]

I've been shooting hoops by myself at an outdoor court. It's great. I've always loved shooting alone, but it's especially nice right now.

Too bad the weather is crumbling so I won't get to do it much more until spring.

the city removed all the rims at the parks. don't see them putting it back up anytime soon
they just started putting back the playground equipment for the kids

 

[whywesteppin]

Good thread to read for a summary of the current covid situation. It's the fall wave we expected, I guess. South Dakota with a >35% test positivity rate